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Expectations Index News
Prediction markets for Expectations Index
Prediction markets for Expectations Index
Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]
Aug 2, 10:37 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
24.51%
chance
467
87952
Option
Votes
YES
NO
7155
5012
Is OpenAI building a search engine?
May 23, 9:31 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
76.59%
chance
131
39368
Option
Votes
NO
YES
7688
3691
Will someone win the Healthspan XPRIZE of 101m restoring muscle, cognition, immune function by minimum 10yrs by 2030?
Nov 29, 11:58 PM
Dec 7, 7:59 AM
33.32%
chance
6
133
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1256
1214
Will fewer than 10% of 18-24 year olds choose to eat meat by 2100?
Aug 8, 1:54 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
32.37%
chance
14
528
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1079
943
Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 (2021 USD) per unit before 2025?
Oct 22, 7:00 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
13%
chance
11
1115
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1568
783
US Core Inflation: what will be the reported monthly change for October 2024?
Apr 27, 6:30 PM
Nov 13, 1:00 PM
1
20
Will the value of the "IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE" index be >110 on June 1, 2025?
Jun 1, 6:45 AM
Jun 1, 7:00 AM
57.37%
chance
2
8
Option
Votes
NO
YES
78
63
Will the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%?
Mar 22, 9:34 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
59.06%
chance
6
53
Option
Votes
NO
YES
232
174
US Core Inflation: what will be the reported monthly change for December 2024?
Apr 27, 6:33 PM
Jan 13, 1:00 PM
3
123
US Core Inflation: what will be the reported monthly change for September 2024?
Apr 27, 6:30 PM
Oct 10, 12:00 PM
1
474
Will my SPXL position go to zero before 2040?
Jun 7, 2:15 AM
Jan 11, 4:59 AM
32.54%
chance
3
22
Option
Votes
YES
NO
92
55
US Core Inflation: what will be the reported monthly change for August 2024?
Apr 27, 6:29 PM
Sep 11, 12:00 PM
2
50
Articles
Latest stories
U.S. Consumer Confidence Reaches 114.8, Two-Year Peak; Europe at -16.1
Authors
16
5 months
Economics
Business
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