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Prediction markets for Expand
Prediction markets for Expand
[Metaculus] Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
Nov 7, 2:14 PM
Jan 2, 2:00 PM
49.32%
chance
11
456
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1054
935
Will an transformer action AI (like adept.ai) be able to navigate and smoothly click all the "expand all" links to archive an entire Slack channel by 2025? (even if just via OBS Studio)
Feb 20, 7:34 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
82.49%
chance
15
236
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1128
953
Will Neko Health expand into the UK by end of 2024?
Aug 10, 8:33 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
50
50
When will the NCAA Division I Men’s basketball tournament (March Madness) expand beyond 68 teams?
Jan 2, 3:12 AM
Mar 2, 4:59 AM
3
390
Will the 2031 Rugby World Cup expand to more than 20 teams?
Oct 19, 10:23 AM
Dec 31, 11:00 AM
90.23%
chance
4
316
Option
Votes
NO
YES
262
42
Will AGI be maximally impatient in trying to expand its causally-affectable portion of the universe?
Mar 26, 4:17 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
42.2%
chance
2
20
Option
Votes
YES
NO
100
82
Will Bayclub Broadway Tennis Center expand pickleball before 2029
Jul 15, 7:46 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
57%
chance
4
19
Option
Votes
NO
YES
120
102
Will "Greater Idaho" come to pass by 2025? (Resolves YES if Idaho's borders expand)
May 17, 9:08 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
2.89%
chance
15
1050
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1944
918
Will the College Football Playoff expand to more than 12 teams in 2026?
Feb 22, 8:47 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
18.48%
chance
2
55
Option
Votes
YES
NO
105
24
Whole Foods will expand its handprint payment system to all its US locations by 2025
Jul 21, 10:27 PM
May 15, 4:00 AM
35.72%
chance
6
87
Option
Votes
YES
NO
142
120
When the March Madness basketball tournament expands beyond 68 teams, what number of teams will it expand to?
Mar 22, 3:59 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
2
50
Will AGI House expand to Toronto or Waterloo by EOY 2027
May 11, 12:22 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
37.49%
chance
2
30
Option
Votes
YES
NO
129
77
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56
2 months
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