Executive Order News

If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 11, 6:59 PMNov 3, 4:59 AM

65%chance

481947

OptionVotes

YES

7961

5891

If Biden is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 11, 8:06 PMNov 3, 4:59 AM

73.11%chance

411396

OptionVotes

YES

7254

6343

Will SCOTUS overturn Biden’s AI safety executive order by 2025? ($2600 subsidy)

Oct 30, 11:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.8%chance

262244

OptionVotes

YES

3639

2650

Will Biden issue an executive order that prevents people who cross the bordrer illegally from seeking asylum?

Feb 24, 1:06 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

95.01%chance

242712

OptionVotes

YES

2336

Will the next U.S. President sign an Executive Order related to AI within their First 100 Days?

Apr 11, 2:00 PMMay 3, 4:59 AM

49.18%chance

452009

OptionVotes

YES

1051

935

Will Joe Biden sign legislation or executive order to legalize or reschedule cannabis before the 2024 election?

Aug 31, 2:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

61.13%chance

333558

OptionVotes

YES

1311

613

Will there be an analogue of executive order 6102 for crypto, making ownership illegal?

Aug 23, 7:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.16%chance

481640

OptionVotes

YES

1434

906

Will Joe Biden issue more than 175 Executive Orders during his first term?

Nov 13, 5:58 AMJan 20, 5:00 PM

33%chance

372143

OptionVotes

YES

1278

702

Will "On the Executive Order" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

May 19, 4:26 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.34%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1050

992

Will the US executive order flops ceiling be updated/raised/revised before 2027?

Nov 1, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.73%chance

675

OptionVotes

YES

208

120

Will the compute cluster reporting requirements in Section 4.2 of the Biden AI Executive Order be rejected by courts

Nov 2, 12:24 AMNov 9, 11:59 PM

21.9%chance

5729

OptionVotes

YES

160

104

Will the AI compute/training reporting requirements in §4.2 of the 10/30 AI Executive Order be challenged in court?

Nov 6, 9:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47%chance

327

OptionVotes

YES

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Executive Order News

Prediction markets for Executive Order

Prediction markets for Executive Order

Prediction markets for Executive Order

If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?

If Biden is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?

Will SCOTUS overturn Biden’s AI safety executive order by 2025? ($2600 subsidy)

Will Biden issue an executive order that prevents people who cross the bordrer illegally from seeking asylum?

Will the next U.S. President sign an Executive Order related to AI within their First 100 Days?

Will Joe Biden sign legislation or executive order to legalize or reschedule cannabis before the 2024 election?

Will there be an analogue of executive order 6102 for crypto, making ownership illegal?

Will Joe Biden issue more than 175 Executive Orders during his first term?

Will "On the Executive Order" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Will the US executive order flops ceiling be updated/raised/revised before 2027?

Will the compute cluster reporting requirements in Section 4.2 of the Biden AI Executive Order be rejected by courts

Will the AI compute/training reporting requirements in §4.2 of the 10/30 AI Executive Order be challenged in court?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Executive Order

Prediction markets for Executive Order

Prediction markets for Executive Order

If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?

If Biden is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?

Will SCOTUS overturn Biden’s AI safety executive order by 2025? ($2600 subsidy)

Will Biden issue an executive order that prevents people who cross the bordrer illegally from seeking asylum?

Will the next U.S. President sign an Executive Order related to AI within their First 100 Days?

Will Joe Biden sign legislation or executive order to legalize or reschedule cannabis before the 2024 election?

Will there be an analogue of executive order 6102 for crypto, making ownership illegal?