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Executive Budget News
Prediction markets for Executive Budget
Prediction markets for Executive Budget
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate equivalent to ~=200 man years of effort towards a software 1.0 given a prompt?
Apr 2, 1:06 AM
Jan 2, 12:59 PM
24.72%
chance
20
638
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1208
888
Will the US Congress pass any new gun legislation in 2024?
Feb 15, 12:33 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
9.82%
chance
21
1623
Option
Votes
YES
NO
998
970
[DIRECTOR JAIL?] After the flop of "Babylon", will Damien Chazelle's next feature film have a budget >$50 million?
Mar 21, 3:58 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
56.42%
chance
6
71
Option
Votes
NO
YES
145
133
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