Exactly AI News

Will the 2025 presidential Inaugural Address in the United States include any of these exact phrases related to AI?

Feb 19, 11:48 PMJan 21, 8:00 AM

58.53%chance

23732

OptionVotes

YES

1034

924

Exactly how many separate questions about AI will be asked during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States?

Nov 6, 10:48 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

373937

If we had an AI in the 2020s that could exactly duplicate a strawberry, would that destroy the world? (In 2050-hindsight)

Feb 22, 4:00 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50.91%chance

7150

OptionVotes

YES

178

156

What exactly will xAI open source, when they "open source" their AI language model "Grok" ?

Mar 12, 3:24 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

316017

What exactly caused the 737MAX Alaska Airlines rapid depressurisation incident?

Jan 6, 10:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

377433

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

80.31%chance

391548406

OptionVotes

YES

16048

13103

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.38%chance

6823983

OptionVotes

YES

26232

3281

In 2029, will any AI be able to construct "reasonably" bug-free code of >= 10k LOC from a natural language specification? (Gary Marcus benchmark #4)

Sep 16, 8:43 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

67.44%chance

776134

OptionVotes

YES

1008

945

Will Sam Altman be a co-founder of a serious OpenAI competitor by EOY 2024?

Nov 17, 9:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.3%chance

493398129

OptionVotes

YES

16682

1194

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?

Feb 21, 6:53 PMFeb 22, 5:59 AM

45.43%chance

8910968

OptionVotes

YES

1301

978

Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?

Aug 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

70%chance

351251

OptionVotes

YES

990

987

AI improves season 8 of Game of Thrones by 2030

Feb 14, 4:47 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32.52%chance

13246

OptionVotes

YES

1000

993

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Exactly AI News

Prediction markets for Exactly AI

Prediction markets for Exactly AI

Prediction markets for Exactly AI

Will the 2025 presidential Inaugural Address in the United States include any of these exact phrases related to AI?

Exactly how many separate questions about AI will be asked during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States?

If we had an AI in the 2020s that could exactly duplicate a strawberry, would that destroy the world? (In 2050-hindsight)

What exactly will xAI open source, when they "open source" their AI language model "Grok" ?

What exactly caused the 737MAX Alaska Airlines rapid depressurisation incident?

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

In 2029, will any AI be able to construct "reasonably" bug-free code of >= 10k LOC from a natural language specification? (Gary Marcus benchmark #4)

Will Sam Altman be a co-founder of a serious OpenAI competitor by EOY 2024?

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?

Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?

AI improves season 8 of Game of Thrones by 2030

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Exactly AI

Prediction markets for Exactly AI

Prediction markets for Exactly AI

Will the 2025 presidential Inaugural Address in the United States include any of these exact phrases related to AI?

Exactly how many separate questions about AI will be asked during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States?

If we had an AI in the 2020s that could exactly duplicate a strawberry, would that destroy the world? (In 2050-hindsight)

What exactly will xAI open source, when they "open source" their AI language model "Grok" ?

What exactly caused the 737MAX Alaska Airlines rapid depressurisation incident?

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?