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Discourse: Will everybody be disappointed with Banksy's identity, when revealed?
Jan 7, 1:34 PM
Jan 30, 10:59 PM
59.02%
chance
1
12
Option
Votes
NO
YES
60
42
Best everyday tool that you realise is a something everybody should own
Jan 11, 11:39 PM
0
0
Outstanding Talk Series (76th Emmy awards - September 15th)
May 26, 4:53 PM
Sep 15, 6:59 AM
3
360
Conditional on AGI taking over the world, what will it do to the humans?
Mar 16, 11:50 AM
Mar 16, 9:59 PM
16
735
If AI wipes out humanity will everyone on Earth fall over dead in the same second?
Feb 27, 7:12 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
8.27%
chance
138
36006
Option
Votes
YES
NO
5620
1243
Will relatively "offline" societies show signs of out-competing "online" societies by the end of 2027?
Dec 27, 6:26 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
52.42%
chance
42
1449
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1133
839
Will all the Great Lake States (minus Ohio and Indiana) vote as a unified bloc in 2024?
Sep 11, 1:04 AM
Nov 6, 4:59 AM
29.47%
chance
13
319
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1103
939
Will I be alive on April 30, 2038?
Apr 29, 9:36 AM
Apr 30, 11:59 PM
88.62%
chance
17
1224
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1210
943
Wearable self-driving car safety dongle with 1m users by end of 2030
Oct 1, 6:10 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
13.58%
chance
8
296
Option
Votes
YES
NO
374
134
Will "Serious National Security threat" mentioned by Mike Turner be declassified in 2024
Feb 15, 6:33 AM
Jan 2, 11:59 PM
64.07%
chance
8
259
Option
Votes
YES
NO
191
172
[personal, subjective] Will Facebook fix the avatar gender situation by mid 2024?
Dec 19, 2:27 AM
Jul 1, 5:59 AM
20.27%
chance
9
234
Option
Votes
YES
NO
381
133
Will a democrat win the 2024 election if DNC nominates...
Nov 13, 6:34 PM
Nov 8, 10:59 PM
22
745
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