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Prediction markets for European relations
Prediction markets for European relations
By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?
Mar 22, 5:09 AM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
49.89%
chance
38
3058
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1087
874
Will the moon have its own time zone before 2026
Mar 8, 7:43 PM
Jan 3, 7:59 AM
24.16%
chance
38
1164
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1140
937
Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050?
Feb 2, 12:59 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
42.61%
chance
25
1097
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1126
867
Will the Tesla union strike in Sweden spread to at least one other EU country by the end of 2024?
Nov 22, 11:26 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
30.07%
chance
27
2290
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1104
900
Will sortition be used as an alternative to elections for selecting national governments in EU or US before 2060?
Aug 28, 8:18 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
12.51%
chance
3
191
Option
Votes
YES
NO
199
77
Will the EU have more than 27 members by the end of 2024?
Dec 30, 12:21 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
2.05%
chance
13
1595
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1776
936
Which non-European or non-South American team will be the first to win the FIFA world cup?
Feb 12, 7:19 AM
Feb 19, 9:59 PM
24
1146
Will the EU have less than 27 members by the end of 2024?
Dec 30, 12:27 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
2.13%
chance
7
1028
Option
Votes
YES
NO
505
106
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) have left the Parc des Princes before December 31, 2024?
Feb 8, 6:21 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
9.14%
chance
5
195
Option
Votes
YES
NO
282
67
Which European countries will deploy naval vessels to the Pacific in 2024 and/or 2025?
Jan 17, 9:12 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
6
58
Articles
Latest stories
Xi's European Tour Strengthens All-Weather Partnership with Hungary
Authors
45
2 months
China
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