Escape News

By 2029, will an AI escape containment?

Feb 19, 7:01 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

53.59%chance

14513939

OptionVotes

YES

2492

1870

Will one person currently alive reach longevity escape velocity?

Nov 14, 7:25 PMNov 23, 7:59 AM

69.2%chance

432354

OptionVotes

YES

1072

943

Will GPT-4 escape?

Mar 17, 8:57 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

7.69%chance

241521

OptionVotes

YES

1450

929

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky reveal the text of the conversations from the AI box escape experiment by the end of 2030?

May 27, 5:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

11.81%chance

211981

OptionVotes

YES

2733

366

By 2029 will an AI convince a human to help it (successfully) escape containment?

Mar 4, 2:21 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

55.89%chance

351593

OptionVotes

YES

980

963

Will Starship reach escape velocity before 2026?

Jan 4, 10:47 AMJan 2, 12:59 PM

14.76%chance

426271

OptionVotes

YES

1809

590

Will any AI model escape from confinement system by the act of itself before the end of 2024?

Dec 30, 4:55 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

10.51%chance

14927

OptionVotes

YES

1300

931

Will human lives again be saved by a rocket's Launch Escape System before 2025?

Jul 27, 4:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8.25%chance

14548

OptionVotes

YES

1329

936

Will Bryan Johnson achieve his goal of aging escape velocity before 2030?

Jul 27, 10:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.78%chance

8350

OptionVotes

YES

400

165

Will Escape Room employees get their own Workers Compensation Class Code by 2030?

Feb 7, 6:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

42.18%chance

6122

OptionVotes

YES

150

144

Someone literally Factorios themselves by building a rocket and escaping a planet or moon before 2100?

Oct 19, 5:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.93%chance

5119

OptionVotes

YES

231

Will Peter Griffin in City Escape break 5M viewers by EOY 2024?

Dec 9, 8:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.48%chance

225

OptionVotes

YES

115

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Escape News

Prediction markets for Escape

Prediction markets for Escape

Prediction markets for Escape

By 2029, will an AI escape containment?

Will one person currently alive reach longevity escape velocity?

Will GPT-4 escape?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky reveal the text of the conversations from the AI box escape experiment by the end of 2030?

By 2029 will an AI convince a human to help it (successfully) escape containment?

Will Starship reach escape velocity before 2026?

Will any AI model escape from confinement system by the act of itself before the end of 2024?

Will human lives again be saved by a rocket's Launch Escape System before 2025?

Will Bryan Johnson achieve his goal of aging escape velocity before 2030?

Will Escape Room employees get their own Workers Compensation Class Code by 2030?

Someone literally Factorios themselves by building a rocket and escaping a planet or moon before 2100?

Will Peter Griffin in City Escape break 5M viewers by EOY 2024?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Escape

Prediction markets for Escape

Prediction markets for Escape

By 2029, will an AI escape containment?

Will one person currently alive reach longevity escape velocity?

Will GPT-4 escape?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky reveal the text of the conversations from the AI box escape experiment by the end of 2030?

By 2029 will an AI convince a human to help it (successfully) escape containment?

Will Starship reach escape velocity before 2026?

Will any AI model escape from confinement system by the act of itself before the end of 2024?