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Prediction markets for ESA
Prediction markets for ESA
Will ESA’s Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) mission to detect gravitational waves launch in 2035 as planned?
Jan 28, 10:16 PM
Dec 31, 8:59 PM
38%
chance
18
447
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1089
935
Will NASA and the ESA still be collaboratively pursuing the LISA gravitational wave mission in 2028?
Jan 10, 5:39 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
87.73%
chance
5
146
Option
Votes
NO
YES
276
83
Will ESA's Hera launch in October?
Jan 2, 5:49 PM
Oct 31, 10:59 PM
75%
chance
6
101
Option
Votes
NO
YES
185
101
Will the ESA Biomass payload fly on an Avio rocket?
Dec 4, 10:17 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
21.99%
chance
4
83
Option
Votes
YES
NO
164
53
Will ESA's HERACLES mission successfully land on the moon?
Sep 16, 2:49 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
56.64%
chance
7
206
Option
Votes
YES
NO
134
111
Will ESA's Hera orbiter land on Didymos?
Feb 24, 3:23 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
73.7%
chance
5
72
Option
Votes
NO
YES
236
140
Conditional on humans settling mars by 2050, whose spaceships will send more of the first 100 settlers?
Aug 21, 4:45 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
30
2487
Which space agency or corporation will be the first to successfully land a spacecraft on one of Jupiter's moons?
Apr 2, 12:26 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
4
179
Who will be the first human to run an official marathon in under two hours?
Apr 1, 7:10 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
11
677
Which company/organization will win an Astro Award in 2025?
Jan 15, 1:05 PM
Feb 1, 6:59 AM
20
1099
Which space agencies or private companies will successfully land humans on Mars by 2030?🚀
Jan 7, 9:06 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
24
3961
(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?
Sep 11, 9:11 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
65.15%
chance
65
15913
Option
Votes
NO
YES
7087
5310
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