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Entertainer of the Year News
Prediction markets for Entertainer of the Year
Prediction markets for Entertainer of the Year
Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?
Feb 21, 6:53 PM
Feb 22, 5:59 AM
45.43%
chance
89
10968
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1301
978
In 2024 will a celebrity loudly claim a scandalous video is a deepfake, even though it is not?
Mar 26, 12:45 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
63.03%
chance
17
235
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1060
958
Will a sequel to "Fallout: New Vegas" be announced by the end of 2026?
Dec 5, 8:04 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
18.36%
chance
14
862
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1119
951
OpenAI saga: will it have an entertaining outcome?
Nov 21, 2:06 AM
Nov 21, 2:59 AM
19.33%
chance
10
442
Option
Votes
YES
NO
447
147
Will Subtrack, Crunchyroll and Lemon8 the main social media in the next 3 years?
Mar 30, 2:53 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
2
50
Will the American Cinematic Experience die in my lifetime?
Apr 7, 1:16 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
61.19%
chance
6
99
Option
Votes
NO
YES
238
204
WB Games Stock
Apr 12, 1:05 AM
Apr 12, 5:59 AM
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
50
50
Manifold USERS OF THE YEAR 2024
Mar 21, 1:13 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
12
338
What games will we attempt to play using prediction markets in 2024? [Prizes for good answers!]
Jan 11, 10:52 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 AM
44
2646
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