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Prediction markets for ENS
Prediction markets for ENS
How many of the first 20 Nijisanji EN members will still be active at the end of 2024?
Feb 5, 1:46 PM
Jan 1, 1:29 PM
10
1071
Sustituirán los juegos en línea a los deportes reales en la vida de la gente en las próximas décadas?
Apr 30, 6:15 AM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
La crise en Ukraine prendra-t-elle fin avant le 1 janvier 2025 ?
Mar 25, 1:56 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
12.88%
chance
9
245
Option
Votes
YES
NO
400
155
How many members of Nijisanji EN will graduate or have their contracts terminated in 2024?
Feb 9, 8:08 AM
Dec 31, 8:59 PM
1
36
El meteórico ascenso de Cardano: la actividad en cadena apunta a un aumento alcista
Nov 4, 2:09 PM
0
0
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
Feb 14, 2:31 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
55.75%
chance
838
526115
Option
Votes
NO
YES
11129
8889
Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024?
Jun 28, 3:51 AM
Aug 2, 3:59 AM
49%
chance
979
823724
Option
Votes
NO
YES
66532
18288
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
Apr 13, 10:30 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
22.56%
chance
1587
790148
Option
Votes
YES
NO
18460
9094
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
Sep 30, 5:54 PM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
43.11%
chance
714
302497
Option
Votes
NO
YES
21793
17437
Will we develop Leopold's 'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?
Jun 10, 7:37 PM
Dec 25, 4:59 AM
32.39%
chance
112
48665
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1445
692
When will most end users of Synapse-based fintechs be able to withdraw their funds?
Jun 25, 2:58 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
4
1127
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2024?
May 9, 3:45 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
5.89%
chance
214
144248
Option
Votes
YES
NO
109617
50724
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Authors
14
2 months
VC
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Authors
10
3 months
Crypto
GoDaddy Partners with Ethereum Name Service for Free Integration of Internet Domain Names and ENS Addresses
Authors
37
5 months
Crypto
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