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Prediction markets for Elliptic

Will we know any of the NIST elliptic curve hash seeds by July 4, 2024?

Nov 23, 3:05 AMJul 5, 6:59 AM

3.33%chance

6706

OptionVotes

YES

NO

851

50

There is between the Earth and Mars a china teapot revolving in an elliptical orbit

Apr 5, 7:45 PMApr 5, 8:59 PM

42113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

255

107

Which of the following quantum computing technologies will first succeed in breaking 256-bit Elliptic Curve Encryption?

Nov 30, 1:35 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

7100

Will a human reach Venus orbit before 2051?

Aug 27, 3:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.16%chance

10184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

991

Will a human reach Venus orbit before 2041?

Aug 27, 3:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.77%chance

646118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1165

849

Will any prime factor of the 1801st Fibonacci Number be found by 2025?

Oct 7, 8:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.55%chance

19626

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1142

936

Will a human reach Venus orbit before 2031?

Aug 29, 4:17 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10%chance

343683

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1375

924

Will a human reach Venus orbit before 2061?

Aug 27, 3:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

40%chance

660

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

144

Will a human reach Venus orbit before 2101?

Aug 27, 3:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

80%chance

4154

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

86

Will a human reach Venus orbit before 2201?

Aug 27, 3:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

80.94%chance

8218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

262

157

Will a human reach Venus orbit before 2081?

Aug 27, 3:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

69%chance

3117

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

76

Will an EscaPADE Spacecraft reach Mars?

Dec 17, 6:01 AMDec 24, 7:59 AM

71.21%chance

785

OptionVotes

NO

YES

201

150

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