Element News

In 2024, will China introduce new export tariffs on rare earth elements?

Dec 2, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.56%chance

472065

OptionVotes

YES

2035

1332

Will an isotope of an element with atomic number > 113 be observed to have a half life >= 1 minute ? (By EoY 2050)

Oct 14, 1:11 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

48.63%chance

14226

OptionVotes

YES

1020

978

Will element 119 be discovered by the end of 2030?

Feb 21, 12:40 AMDec 31, 1:00 PM

37.77%chance

11346

OptionVotes

YES

1030

939

Will an element with an atomic number greater than that of oganesson (118) be synthesized before 2028?

Jul 15, 9:57 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

47.59%chance

15426

OptionVotes

YES

1063

914

Will the periodic table contain more than 118 elements before 2045?

Sep 16, 11:00 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

80.71%chance

20736

OptionVotes

YES

1086

960

CA cities failing their housing element is gonna be a colossal ($100s Billions) deal, in hindsight in 2025

Jan 31, 6:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.69%chance

23894

OptionVotes

YES

1350

758

Will any popular mobile device feature a touchscreen with the ability to hover your finger above a screen element by the beginning of 2035?

Jan 6, 8:02 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

88.52%chance

261673

OptionVotes

YES

1398

903

Will humans have developed the infrastructure to extract rare elements from sources outside of Earth by the year 2200?

Jan 25, 2:24 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

92.23%chance

231069

OptionVotes

YES

1462

914

Will we discover a new element by the year 2500

Feb 1, 3:59 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

93.63%chance

14474

OptionVotes

YES

1454

924

Will any lab claim to have synthesized a new chemical element with the atomic number >118 in 2024?

Jan 11, 3:55 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM

5.18%chance

15917

OptionVotes

YES

1484

929

Does the asteroid polyhymnia contain elements missing from the periodic table?

Oct 25, 2:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

11.53%chance

14676

OptionVotes

YES

1011

598

When a new element be added to the periodic table of elements before the end of 2028?

Jan 11, 12:55 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.04%chance

587

OptionVotes

YES

192

127

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Element News

Prediction markets for Element

Prediction markets for Element

Prediction markets for Element

In 2024, will China introduce new export tariffs on rare earth elements?

Will an isotope of an element with atomic number > 113 be observed to have a half life >= 1 minute ? (By EoY 2050)

Will element 119 be discovered by the end of 2030?

Will an element with an atomic number greater than that of oganesson (118) be synthesized before 2028?

Will the periodic table contain more than 118 elements before 2045?

CA cities failing their housing element is gonna be a colossal ($100s Billions) deal, in hindsight in 2025

Will any popular mobile device feature a touchscreen with the ability to hover your finger above a screen element by the beginning of 2035?

Will humans have developed the infrastructure to extract rare elements from sources outside of Earth by the year 2200?

Will we discover a new element by the year 2500

Will any lab claim to have synthesized a new chemical element with the atomic number >118 in 2024?

Does the asteroid polyhymnia contain elements missing from the periodic table?

When a new element be added to the periodic table of elements before the end of 2028?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Element

Prediction markets for Element

Prediction markets for Element

In 2024, will China introduce new export tariffs on rare earth elements?

Will an isotope of an element with atomic number > 113 be observed to have a half life >= 1 minute ? (By EoY 2050)

Will element 119 be discovered by the end of 2030?

Will an element with an atomic number greater than that of oganesson (118) be synthesized before 2028?

Will the periodic table contain more than 118 elements before 2045?

CA cities failing their housing element is gonna be a colossal ($100s Billions) deal, in hindsight in 2025

Will any popular mobile device feature a touchscreen with the ability to hover your finger above a screen element by the beginning of 2035?