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Prediction markets for Electric or Bust

Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?

Sep 1, 11:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

70.25%chance

41391215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4577

2091

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

64.91%chance

25766122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

748

Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?

Oct 30, 4:19 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM

50.07%chance

116103449

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1059

927

Will Tao be severely injured in a electric unicycle accident in 2024?

Jun 7, 7:08 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.62%chance

125253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8619

5726

Will I get injured riding my electric unicycle by the end of 2024?

Jun 6, 9:20 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.56%chance

5634084

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10060

3783

Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2029?

May 10, 8:52 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

17.66%chance

414675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3003

1084

Will renewable energy sources pass coal power plants as world's largest electricity source in 2024?

Dec 1, 9:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.84%chance

1279482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2167

752

Will there be an electric* passenger airliner in commercial operation before 2028?

Jul 27, 3:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.77%chance

728705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1495

1121

Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?

May 27, 9:10 PMDec 31, 7:11 PM

19.24%chance

6560968

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1643

741

Will Israel commit war crimes by cutting off food/water, electricity, and fuel to the Gaza Strip?

Oct 9, 12:02 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

73.2%chance

15123385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1800

1288

In 10 years, will the USA have an average cost of electricity below 1/10th of its current price?

May 8, 2:50 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.63%chance

22777

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1176

936

Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?

Aug 16, 2:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51%chance

5331083

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1028

933

Articles

Latest stories

Australia's Energy Shift: 'Electric or Bust', 60% Emissions Cut, Nuclear by 2050
Authors
4
4 months
China
Australia
World

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