Elections Act News

Project 2025: If elected, will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act within 3 months?

Feb 12, 4:35 AMApr 20, 6:59 AM

44.16%chance

495500

OptionVotes

YES

1058

884

Will the winner of the 2024 election continuously be the acting president from January 20, 2025 until January 20, 2029?

Mar 26, 4:43 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

38.29%chance

7148

OptionVotes

YES

201

128

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach the threshold for activation by the 2024 election? [Res. PROB]

Jul 1, 7:32 PMNov 6, 4:59 AM

19.38%chance

322274

OptionVotes

YES

1096

947

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach the threshold for activation by the 2028 election? [Res. PROB]

Jul 1, 7:52 PMNov 8, 4:59 AM

23.32%chance

17728

OptionVotes

YES

995

926

Will Trump actually nominate a Libertarian to his Cabinet if elected?

Jun 2, 7:42 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

27.23%chance

301833

OptionVotes

YES

1635

612

Will Election Betting Odds remain active at the end of 2024?

Dec 2, 3:34 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.83%chance

11725

OptionVotes

YES

1223

914

UK General Election: Which party will win Ealing Central and Acton?

Jan 4, 2:40 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM

380

Will another US President hold office for more than two full terms?

Jul 3, 6:08 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

45.39%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

1097

912

Will there be another Jan 6th if Biden is elected?

Jun 28, 6:17 AMFeb 1, 5:59 AM

39.15%chance

13743

OptionVotes

YES

1247

802

If Biden wins, will the US homicide rate decrease?

Mar 10, 5:06 PMNov 3, 7:59 AM

71.33%chance

15419

OptionVotes

YES

1023

973

Will the next U.S. President sign an Executive Order related to AI within their First 100 Days?

Apr 11, 2:00 PMMay 3, 4:59 AM

49.18%chance

452009

OptionVotes

YES

1051

935

A serious US presidential candidate says they'll take decisive action in the case of near term AI risk.

Dec 27, 4:34 AMOct 1, 3:59 AM

48.46%chance

16372

OptionVotes

YES

1086

908

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Elections Act News

Prediction markets for Elections Act

Prediction markets for Elections Act

Prediction markets for Elections Act

Project 2025: If elected, will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act within 3 months?

Will the winner of the 2024 election continuously be the acting president from January 20, 2025 until January 20, 2029?

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach the threshold for activation by the 2024 election? [Res. PROB]

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach the threshold for activation by the 2028 election? [Res. PROB]

Will Trump actually nominate a Libertarian to his Cabinet if elected?

Will Election Betting Odds remain active at the end of 2024?

UK General Election: Which party will win Ealing Central and Acton?

Will another US President hold office for more than two full terms?

Will there be another Jan 6th if Biden is elected?

If Biden wins, will the US homicide rate decrease?

Will the next U.S. President sign an Executive Order related to AI within their First 100 Days?

A serious US presidential candidate says they'll take decisive action in the case of near term AI risk.

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Elections Act

Prediction markets for Elections Act

Prediction markets for Elections Act

Project 2025: If elected, will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act within 3 months?

Will the winner of the 2024 election continuously be the acting president from January 20, 2025 until January 20, 2029?

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach the threshold for activation by the 2024 election? [Res. PROB]

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach the threshold for activation by the 2028 election? [Res. PROB]

Will Trump actually nominate a Libertarian to his Cabinet if elected?

Will Election Betting Odds remain active at the end of 2024?

UK General Election: Which party will win Ealing Central and Acton?