Election 2024 News

Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Aug 3, 6:17 PMDec 17, 4:29 PM

36859794304

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Jan 14, 5:21 PMNov 7, 5:59 AM

27.88%chance

52455861731

OptionVotes

YES

80162

31695

Which party will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Jan 4, 1:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1145572373

Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024?

Jun 28, 3:51 AMAug 2, 3:59 AM

24.13%chance

567363608

OptionVotes

YES

52807

43862

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?

Dec 7, 10:04 PMOct 9, 10:00 PM

56.79%chance

22162339348

OptionVotes

YES

11283

5128

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?

Aug 24, 10:57 PMDec 1, 5:59 AM

43.81%chance

788176798

OptionVotes

YES

5061

3363

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Jan 14, 5:22 PMNov 7, 5:59 AM

59.66%chance

589601404

OptionVotes

YES

2693

720

Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Jun 13, 10:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20931780718

If Joe Biden becomes the Democratic nominee, will he win the 2024 election?

Jan 14, 8:21 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

35%chance

14033213

OptionVotes

YES

1605

625

Will the Conservative vote at the 2024 General Election be HIGHER than their 2019 European Election result of 9%?

Jun 10, 9:14 AMJul 3, 10:59 PM

94%chance

1730457

OptionVotes

YES

40087

2800

Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election?

Oct 26, 5:58 PMNov 6, 5:59 AM

50.64%chance

8417779

OptionVotes

YES

1809

1071

If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Jan 24, 4:35 AMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

28.48%chance

915886

OptionVotes

YES

1819

1347

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Election 2024 News

Prediction markets for Election 2024

Prediction markets for Election 2024

Prediction markets for Election 2024

Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Which party will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024?

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

If Joe Biden becomes the Democratic nominee, will he win the 2024 election?

Will the Conservative vote at the 2024 General Election be HIGHER than their 2019 European Election result of 9%?

Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election?

If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Election 2024

Prediction markets for Election 2024

Prediction markets for Election 2024

Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Which party will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024?

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?