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Edit Suggestions News
Prediction markets for Edit Suggestions
Prediction markets for Edit Suggestions
If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?
Jan 24, 4:35 AM
Feb 2, 4:59 AM
30.54%
chance
92
5936
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1705
1395
Will Trump be Convicted, if his January 6th Trial begins before the election?
Feb 20, 2:50 AM
Nov 7, 7:59 AM
182
13864
In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?
Jul 10, 6:56 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
22.26%
chance
18
2157
Option
Votes
NO
YES
977
970
Will Israel commit war crimes by cutting off food/water, electricity, and fuel to the Gaza Strip?
Oct 9, 12:02 PM
Jan 1, 12:59 PM
73.2%
chance
151
23385
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1800
1288
Trump VP Introduction Prop Bets
Mar 12, 1:28 AM
Jul 9, 6:59 AM
224
21722
Scientific consensus CO2 >1200ppm bad for cognitive capacity at EOY 2030
Nov 15, 10:15 AM
Dec 30, 10:59 PM
77.66%
chance
21
1351
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1139
928
Prospera wins fight against Honduras
Sep 12, 2:17 PM
May 1, 8:59 PM
48%
chance
25
1064
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1074
904
Will any AI-created song make the Billboard Global 200 before 2029?
Jan 12, 4:35 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
54.01%
chance
18
424
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1004
992
Will 300% lifespan extension in rotifers replicate?
Aug 5, 12:04 PM
Nov 9, 7:29 PM
17.16%
chance
46
1719
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1313
902
Which of the following movies is the next 25 years most likely to resemble?
Aug 18, 1:46 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
55
4131
Will the House vote on removing Mike Johnson as Speaker as a result of his proposed budget deal?
Jan 23, 9:18 PM
Aug 29, 3:59 AM
18.38%
chance
57
7309
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1855
654
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
289835
Articles
Latest stories
Samsung Unveils Galaxy S24 Series Smartphones Packed with AI Features, Reveals India Prices and Integrates Google Gemini
Authors
48
6 months
AI
Tech
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