Edge News

Will my friends' kid ever be better at any knowledge-work than cutting-edge AI, by 2040?

Mar 26, 12:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.2%chance

14191

OptionVotes

YES

1083

958

Will Edge remain the 3rd most popular browser by the end of 2025?

Jan 11, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.67%chance

15347

OptionVotes

YES

1003

990

Will Edge remain the 3rd most popular browser by the end of 2024?

Jan 11, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84.36%chance

15834

OptionVotes

YES

1279

916

Will the US require hardware security features on cutting-edge chips by 2028?

Apr 28, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.3%chance

213

OptionVotes

YES

103

Will Edge remain the 3rd most popular browser by the end of 2027?

Jan 11, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.69%chance

8129

OptionVotes

YES

265

113

Will 5G edge computing gain widespread adoption in consumer services before 2030?

Sep 1, 12:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28.4%chance

3131

OptionVotes

YES

151

Before 2043, will a leading-edge process node feature a new transistor design fewer than 10 years after its invention?

Jun 5, 10:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.97%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will the US implement a policy to track and license cutting-edge chips in large clusters by 2028?

Apr 28, 1:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.38%chance

735

OptionVotes

YES

178

163

Will the Chainsmokers actually perform at the Edge of Space in 2024 as claimed in 2022?

Feb 12, 7:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.4%chance

6150

OptionVotes

YES

181

104

Will there be a global "pause" on cutting-edge AI research due to government regulation by 2025?

May 22, 8:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

4.49%chance

10727

OptionVotes

YES

963

210

Will Edge remain the 3rd most popular browser by the end of 2026?

Jan 11, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.9%chance

949

OptionVotes

YES

205

174

Manifold.Love, women who are on the edge of using it, what would convince you?

Oct 29, 9:39 PM

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Edge News

Prediction markets for Edge

Prediction markets for Edge

Prediction markets for Edge

Will my friends' kid ever be better at any knowledge-work than cutting-edge AI, by 2040?

Will Edge remain the 3rd most popular browser by the end of 2025?

Will Edge remain the 3rd most popular browser by the end of 2024?

Will the US require hardware security features on cutting-edge chips by 2028?

Will Edge remain the 3rd most popular browser by the end of 2027?

Will 5G edge computing gain widespread adoption in consumer services before 2030?

Before 2043, will a leading-edge process node feature a new transistor design fewer than 10 years after its invention?

Will the US implement a policy to track and license cutting-edge chips in large clusters by 2028?

Will the Chainsmokers actually perform at the Edge of Space in 2024 as claimed in 2022?

Will there be a global "pause" on cutting-edge AI research due to government regulation by 2025?

Will Edge remain the 3rd most popular browser by the end of 2026?

Manifold.Love, women who are on the edge of using it, what would convince you?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Edge

Prediction markets for Edge

Prediction markets for Edge

Will my friends' kid ever be better at any knowledge-work than cutting-edge AI, by 2040?

Will Edge remain the 3rd most popular browser by the end of 2025?

Will Edge remain the 3rd most popular browser by the end of 2024?

Will the US require hardware security features on cutting-edge chips by 2028?

Will Edge remain the 3rd most popular browser by the end of 2027?

Will 5G edge computing gain widespread adoption in consumer services before 2030?

Before 2043, will a leading-edge process node feature a new transistor design fewer than 10 years after its invention?

Will the US implement a policy to track and license cutting-edge chips in large clusters by 2028?

Will the Chainsmokers actually perform at the Edge of Space in 2024 as claimed in 2022?

Will there be a global "pause" on cutting-edge AI research due to government regulation by 2025?