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Prediction markets for Dying

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?

Jul 18, 9:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.23%chance

201160211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4881

4599

Will May 2024 be remembered as the month 'AI safety movement died' as per Tyler Cowen?

May 21, 12:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.58%chance

6211420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3265

306

How many people will die of extreme heat in Arizona in 2033?

May 31, 4:36 AMJul 2, 5:59 AM

72537

How many people will die of extreme heat in Arizona in 2026?

Jun 2, 8:04 PMJul 2, 5:59 AM

112642

Someone dies wearing Apple Vision Pro in 2024

Jan 26, 7:11 AMDec 2, 7:59 AM

15.19%chance

28237526

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4406

1440

How old will I be when I die?

Mar 18, 9:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.99%chance

24624

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

820

Will a third Boeing whistleblower die before the end of Halloween?

May 12, 5:19 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

10%chance

17020304

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2061

1887

Will Trump spend any time in prison before he dies?

May 29, 12:49 AMJan 5, 4:59 AM

40.65%chance

15133734

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1756

1646

Someone dies wearing Apple Vision Pro

Jan 23, 3:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

57.29%chance

23040135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1832

1395

Will the next president die while in office?

Aug 2, 5:44 AMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

29.76%chance

262838

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1083

715

Will Jimmy Carter Die during 2024

Dec 29, 10:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.33%chance

12166543

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1066

896

Will Elon Musk spend any time on Mars before he dies?

May 30, 8:23 PMJan 7, 4:59 AM

15.97%chance

11217798

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3283

1254

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