Search
News Chat
Login
Search
Top
For You
Business
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
Video Games
World
Drive Pilot News
Prediction markets for Drive Pilot
Prediction markets for Drive Pilot
2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.
Mar 11, 12:08 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
57.15%
chance
29
1297
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1033
921
Will any minority pilot on a US airline make a mistake that results in at least one other person's death before 2028?
Jan 15, 7:58 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
46%
chance
8
232
Option
Votes
NO
YES
137
112
Which of these new vehicle types will Tesla produce by 2034?
Jan 6, 6:39 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
56
3152
[Metaculus] Before 2032, will we see 1k deaths or $200B in economic damage caused by AI malfunction?
Mar 13, 6:48 AM
Jan 2, 11:00 AM
26.53%
chance
4
248
Option
Votes
YES
NO
257
131
Who will publicly release the first language model to be credibly accused of being responsible for 100 deaths?
Oct 5, 2:30 AM
Dec 13, 7:59 AM
20
713
Drive through bars available in a US state before 2034
Jun 27, 3:55 PM
Jan 16, 7:59 AM
9.13%
chance
7
385
Option
Votes
YES
NO
351
124
Articles
Latest stories
Mercedes Gets U.S. Nod for Turquoise Self-Driving Lights on S-class, EQS
Authors
9
7 months
Tech
Previous
Next
