Drive News

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Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?

Feb 13, 8:04 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

74.36%chance

38065090

OptionVotes

YES

11262

7945

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?

Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.43%chance

9811726

OptionVotes

YES

2528

1892

Will I be able to order a self-driving taxi without a steering wheel by end of 2024?

Feb 22, 12:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.33%chance

15734560

OptionVotes

YES

4929

613

Will most self-driving cars in 2029 use LIDAR?

Nov 2, 7:43 PMDec 2, 5:59 AM

26.03%chance

798420

OptionVotes

YES

1325

842

Will autonomous driving rideshares exceed human-driven rideshares by the start of 2030 (in the US)? [Ṁ1500 subsidy]

Oct 3, 2:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

29.76%chance

342458

OptionVotes

YES

2177

2119

Will we get fusion drives before 2040?

Jun 2, 5:19 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

9.72%chance

132543

OptionVotes

YES

3048

328

Will Tesla have a ChatGPT moment in self-driving cars by 2024 year-end?

May 22, 3:00 PMMar 1, 2:59 AM

18.44%chance

12228602

OptionVotes

YES

2112

1498

Will Portland have fully self-driving taxis by the end of 2025?

Dec 16, 12:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.68%chance

391538

OptionVotes

YES

1490

796

Will we be able to buy a €25k autonomous car that doesn't require driving license in mid 2029 in Italy?

Jun 2, 12:42 PMJun 2, 9:59 PM

8.49%chance

302707

OptionVotes

YES

3283

305

Cyber truck drives on moon or other solar planetary body

Mar 28, 3:32 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

33.7%chance

224349

OptionVotes

YES

1011

930

Will a self-driving taxi service be cheaper than an Uber ride (with a driver) to the same location on 12/31/24

Oct 13, 11:21 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

46.43%chance

361671

OptionVotes

YES

1302

548

Will there be a popular fad to put a life-size plastic skeleton in the driver’s seat of a self-driving car before 2030

Jun 18, 5:06 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

29.07%chance

315199

OptionVotes

YES

1562

640

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Drive News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Drive

Prediction markets for Drive

Prediction markets for Drive

Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?

Will I be able to order a self-driving taxi without a steering wheel by end of 2024?

Will most self-driving cars in 2029 use LIDAR?

Will autonomous driving rideshares exceed human-driven rideshares by the start of 2030 (in the US)? [Ṁ1500 subsidy]

Will we get fusion drives before 2040?

Will Tesla have a ChatGPT moment in self-driving cars by 2024 year-end?

Will Portland have fully self-driving taxis by the end of 2025?

Will we be able to buy a €25k autonomous car that doesn't require driving license in mid 2029 in Italy?

Cyber truck drives on moon or other solar planetary body

Will a self-driving taxi service be cheaper than an Uber ride (with a driver) to the same location on 12/31/24

Will there be a popular fad to put a life-size plastic skeleton in the driver’s seat of a self-driving car before 2030

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Drive

Prediction markets for Drive

Prediction markets for Drive

Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?

Will I be able to order a self-driving taxi without a steering wheel by end of 2024?

Will most self-driving cars in 2029 use LIDAR?

Will autonomous driving rideshares exceed human-driven rideshares by the start of 2030 (in the US)? [Ṁ1500 subsidy]

Will we get fusion drives before 2040?

Will Tesla have a ChatGPT moment in self-driving cars by 2024 year-end?

Will Portland have fully self-driving taxis by the end of 2025?