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Prediction markets for Drama

Drama Index Stock (Permanent)

Nov 12, 3:06 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

10872

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

1220

Will there be serious AI safety drama at Google or Deepmind before 2026?

Mar 20, 9:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

66.77%chance

16181

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1070

955

Will there be serious AI safety drama at Meta AI before 2026?

Mar 20, 9:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

54.9%chance

25525

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

965

Will there be drama caused by Manifold employees' ability to create free M$ by the end of 2025?

Aug 27, 4:38 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

61.04%chance

261185

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

960

Will it be revealed, by the end of 2024 that Destiny has lied about something significant during the Divorce Drama?

Dec 24, 3:16 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

12.04%chance

12810

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1326

873

Will there be significant drama related to the DGG canvassing houses in 2024?

Dec 12, 12:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.87%chance

262476

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1224

748

Will Q1 of 2024 be the last quarter in which the news is not entirely full of AI drama until 2030?

Nov 23, 8:15 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7.51%chance

527051

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1740

880

When will the first K-Drama about LK99 be released?

Aug 1, 10:51 AMAug 1, 3:59 PM

6115

Will Wes Anderson begin working on or have already released a crime drama film by 2027?

Oct 13, 11:24 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

55.27%chance

218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

76

65

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series (76th Emmy awards - September 15th)

May 26, 5:02 PMSep 15, 6:59 AM

5252

Waffles Drama Index

Nov 15, 2:21 PMJan 1, 2:21 PM

71.88%chance

91191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

68

Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out?

Nov 20, 8:48 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

22.38%chance

6188

OptionVotes

YES

NO

196

171

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14 days
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