Doomsday News

Will at least 16 AI x-risk researchers move to doomsday bunkers in the Southern Hemisphere by 2026-01-01?

Nov 14, 8:11 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

16.64%chance

17485

OptionVotes

YES

1185

939

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?

Feb 2, 5:46 PMJan 24, 4:59 AM

30.37%chance

11204

OptionVotes

YES

1082

941

Will the Doomsday Clock next move be forward?

Aug 30, 9:29 PMSep 7, 3:59 AM

81.18%chance

538818

OptionVotes

YES

1171

930

Will the Doomsday Clock be 60s (or less) to midnight by end of January 2026

Feb 22, 1:51 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

15.14%chance

201140

OptionVotes

YES

1444

818

Will the Doomsday Clock advance toward midnight in/by January 2025?

Jan 22, 12:19 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

45.02%chance

281604

OptionVotes

YES

994

890

In the next 5 years, will the Doomsday Clock reach 4 or more minutes to midnight?

Jan 25, 7:34 AMJan 25, 11:59 PM

10.44%chance

15918

OptionVotes

YES

1328

910

Will any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?

Feb 13, 1:44 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

70.24%chance

9254

OptionVotes

YES

761

609

In the next five years, will the people who make the Doomsday Clock declare Doomsday?

Feb 1, 6:49 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

5.64%chance

10533

OptionVotes

YES

1374

941

Will I consider the Peter Doocy doomsday AI question to the White House iconic/important in five years?

Apr 4, 1:12 PMApr 4, 9:59 PM

34%chance

7120

OptionVotes

YES

171

134

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds to midnight by 2028?

Feb 4, 3:05 AMJan 24, 4:59 AM

27.19%chance

5331

OptionVotes

YES

146

Will the Doomsday Click be set to 80 seconds to midnight on the 2025 update?

Jan 24, 4:05 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

21.88%chance

9100

OptionVotes

YES

278

179

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?

Jul 21, 2:48 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

24%chance

6152

OptionVotes

YES

175

105

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Doomsday News

Prediction markets for Doomsday

Prediction markets for Doomsday

Prediction markets for Doomsday

Will at least 16 AI x-risk researchers move to doomsday bunkers in the Southern Hemisphere by 2026-01-01?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?

Will the Doomsday Clock next move be forward?

Will the Doomsday Clock be 60s (or less) to midnight by end of January 2026

Will the Doomsday Clock advance toward midnight in/by January 2025?

In the next 5 years, will the Doomsday Clock reach 4 or more minutes to midnight?

Will any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?

In the next five years, will the people who make the Doomsday Clock declare Doomsday?

Will I consider the Peter Doocy doomsday AI question to the White House iconic/important in five years?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds to midnight by 2028?

Will the Doomsday Click be set to 80 seconds to midnight on the 2025 update?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Doomsday

Prediction markets for Doomsday

Prediction markets for Doomsday

Will at least 16 AI x-risk researchers move to doomsday bunkers in the Southern Hemisphere by 2026-01-01?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?

Will the Doomsday Clock next move be forward?

Will the Doomsday Clock be 60s (or less) to midnight by end of January 2026

Will the Doomsday Clock advance toward midnight in/by January 2025?

In the next 5 years, will the Doomsday Clock reach 4 or more minutes to midnight?

Will any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?