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Prediction markets for Defence
Prediction markets for Defence
Will the Ukrainian Ministry of Defence claim over 1,000,000 enemy personnel eliminated before the war concludes?
Aug 6, 11:59 AM
Dec 31, 11:00 PM
30.21%
chance
12
464
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1021
926
Will any other country provide air defence coverage for Ukraine, before June 2025?
May 29, 10:47 PM
Jun 1, 8:59 PM
31.55%
chance
7
566
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1473
679
Will Boris Pistorius (german secretary of defence) be out of office before the next federal election?
Jan 20, 7:33 PM
Dec 31, 12:59 AM
6.35%
chance
25
4549
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2908
738
Will Andrey Belousov still be the Minister of Defence of Russia on January 1, 2025?
May 13, 9:50 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
80%
chance
5
180
Option
Votes
NO
YES
200
50
Will Taiwan's Defence Budget rise to 2.5% of GDP in 2030?
May 8, 1:31 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
30.03%
chance
2
35
Option
Votes
YES
NO
125
68
Will Taiwan's Defence Budget rise to 2% of GDP in 2027?
May 8, 1:28 PM
Dec 31, 4:30 PM
62%
chance
3
23
Option
Votes
NO
YES
105
78
Will Taiwan's Defence Budget rise to 3% of GDP in 2030?
May 8, 1:29 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
59.02%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
80
62
Will NATO spend combined more than $2 trillion on defence by 2028?
Nov 21, 3:08 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
68.87%
chance
8
203
Option
Votes
NO
YES
347
207
Will Taiwan's Defence Budget rise to 3% of GDP in 2027?
May 8, 1:28 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
Will Taiwan's Defence Budget rise to 2% of GDP in 2025?
May 8, 1:24 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
54.75%
chance
1
5
Option
Votes
NO
YES
75
65
Will Taiwan's Defence Budget rise to 2% of GDP in 2030?
May 8, 1:32 PM
May 1, 3:59 PM
59.02%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
80
62
Will Taiwan's Defence Budget rise to 2.5% of GDP in 2025?
May 8, 1:33 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
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