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Crowding News
Prediction markets for Crowding
Prediction markets for Crowding
Will any member of the crowd who burned a Waymo self driving car in San Francisco be convicted?
Feb 11, 3:21 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
69.46%
chance
14
277
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1016
982
🇮🇱 Did Israel fire into the crowd during the February 29th aid convoy incident?
Mar 20, 5:56 AM
Aug 1, 6:59 AM
62.96%
chance
28
1870
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1356
699
Discourse 2024: More illegal migrants crowd the U.S.’s southern border?
Jan 7, 12:46 PM
Jan 14, 10:59 PM
79.81%
chance
2
50
Option
Votes
NO
YES
120
45
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
334
294277
What is the small thing in everyday life that you find most annoying?
Jan 26, 10:21 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
4
36
Will Destiny talk to Steven Crowder during 2024?
Jan 1, 8:39 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
11.73%
chance
17
1342
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1686
841
Will an equity crowdfunding campaign offer refund bonuses by 2026?
Aug 30, 9:14 AM
Jan 6, 9:59 PM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
50
50
Will 10 or more crowdfunding campaigns use refund bonuses by 2025?
Aug 30, 6:13 AM
Jan 1, 9:59 PM
86%
chance
4
176
Option
Votes
NO
YES
219
72
When will be the first billion dollar crowdfunding campaign?
Sep 1, 12:17 PM
Jan 1, 9:59 PM
1
30
Was Steven Crowder the more abusive partner?
Apr 28, 5:27 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
89.16%
chance
7
245
Option
Votes
NO
YES
367
118
What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [FREE RESPONSE]
Oct 9, 8:29 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
49
8156
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
Mar 18, 7:19 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
34.15%
chance
158
23678
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1419
636
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51-Year-Old Father of Fallen Marine Arrested at State of the Union
Authors
9
4 months
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