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Prediction markets for Criminal Possession

Will someone be convicted just for making AI porn in the US?

Mar 3, 10:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

93.55%chance

464011

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3041

110

If Biden wins the 2024 US presidential election, will cannabis be decriminalized or legalized by the midterms?

Mar 10, 9:49 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

51.82%chance

14357

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1038

956

Will Johnny Lyu (CEO of KuCoin) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Dec 3, 12:58 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

32.67%chance

101161

OptionVotes

NO

YES

996

955

Will Lockheed Martin deny that it was in possession of UFOs before the end of 2024?

Dec 11, 12:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.38%chance

13433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1067

968

Will Michael Bloomberg (mayor, businessman) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 9, 1:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.62%chance

10198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1174

950

Will Justin Sun (founder of Tron) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Dec 6, 3:09 AMDec 31, 5:00 PM

90%chance

133461

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2807

509

Will Jesse Powell (co-founder of Kraken exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Dec 2, 5:12 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

8.9%chance

16897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1210

953

Will Vitalik Buterin (co-founder and inventor of Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Nov 29, 3:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.77%chance

287203

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1231

949

Will Jack Dorsey (Co-founder of Twitter) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 2, 7:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.72%chance

14681

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1370

937

Will Brian Armstrong (founder of Coinbase exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Nov 27, 11:22 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

6.75%chance

16617

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1303

944

Will Blessing Adeoye (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 18, 12:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.87%chance

461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

63

Will Seth Abner (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 17, 12:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.89%chance

7222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

328

100

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