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Prediction markets for Creativity
Prediction markets for Creativity
NYT/MSFT v. OpenAI outcome: Creative Commons: revamped, rediscovered & adopted widely.
Jan 3, 3:27 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
59.02%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
80
62
What will happen in 2024? [300M prize for most creative response]
Jan 3, 2:12 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
22
1600
Know anyone in need of creative services? Let a contact come my way and be rewarded :)
Nov 19, 6:43 PM
0
0
Is the innovation over with AI sitting on every table of a creative and coding gigs?
Feb 19, 1:10 AM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
31
0
Boost Creativity with ChatGPT: Create Unique Content
Dec 13, 9:25 AM
0
0
What's your favorite creative outlet?
Feb 4, 4:51 PM
13
0
What will be true of OpenAI's Sora* model, at the end of 2025? [*see description]
Feb 15, 6:57 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
365
85514
What nootropics or other cognitive enhancements will I see a significant positive effect from if I take them?
Jan 17, 11:27 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
20
1177
What Minecraft (game) references will be made in the Minecraft (movie)?
Apr 5, 8:07 PM
Apr 13, 5:59 AM
73
6624
Will a blank-slate AI prove the infinitude of primes by 2025-11-03?
Nov 3, 6:08 PM
Nov 4, 5:59 AM
35.68%
chance
122
16258
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2906
987
Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?
Jan 25, 12:24 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
19.4%
chance
207
22119
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4089
1178
Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:16 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
19.92%
chance
9
2626
Option
Votes
NO
YES
4193
4124
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6 months
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5
7 months
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