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Core Values News
Prediction markets for Core Values
Prediction markets for Core Values
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:46 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
201
82490
Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?
Nov 26, 6:57 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
56.32%
chance
27
1336
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1041
925
Bulls vs Bears: Will the S&P 500 hit 6,000.00 before 5,000.00?
Jun 20, 2:11 PM
Jul 31, 8:00 PM
51.99%
chance
6
612
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1041
961
Bulls vs Bears: Will the S&P 500 hit 5,700.00 before 5,300.00?
Jun 20, 2:11 PM
Jul 5, 8:00 PM
57.37%
chance
12
573
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1160
862
Bulls vs Bears: Will the S&P 500 hit 6,000.00 before 4,000.00?
Feb 18, 2:35 PM
Dec 31, 7:00 PM
74.62%
chance
38
3798
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1318
832
Will anyone make a YouTube video seriously claiming to "debunk" Eliezer Yudkowsky on AI risk?
Apr 4, 6:04 PM
Apr 4, 10:59 PM
85.48%
chance
17
799
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1308
920
How difficult will Anthropic say the AI alignment problem is?
Aug 8, 7:48 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
7
135
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2024?
Feb 28, 7:58 PM
Dec 31, 7:00 PM
35
16868
Which downward thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2024?
Feb 28, 8:07 PM
Dec 31, 7:00 PM
30
5223
Will Google emoji kitchen stop discrimination against the strong arm emoji 💪 by end of 2025?
Sep 11, 11:50 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
20%
chance
1
50
Option
Votes
YES
NO
100
25
What will be the first neutron star radius measured, in km?
Jul 14, 7:07 PM
Jul 2, 5:59 AM
39.5%
chance
5
56
Option
Votes
YES
NO
265
222
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