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Constitutional AI News
Prediction markets for Constitutional AI
Prediction markets for Constitutional AI
Constitutional AI stock
Apr 9, 3:09 PM
Apr 10, 3:59 AM
14
284
Option
Votes
YES
NO
287
252
Which combinations of technology will cause most disruption the world in the next 25 years?
Feb 18, 5:22 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
29
4937
If a friendly AI takes control of humanity, which of the propositions ought it find true?
May 30, 8:38 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
19
8882
In 2025, what 2019-2022 work of AI safety will I think was most significant?
Dec 31, 8:13 PM
Jan 1, 8:13 PM
11
329
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
Sep 30, 5:54 PM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
43.89%
chance
714
302173
Option
Votes
NO
YES
22056
17095
Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?
May 18, 4:27 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
57.23%
chance
36
22972
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1157
865
Will technical limitations or safeguards significantly restrict public access to smarter-than-almost-all-humans AGI?
Jun 10, 7:27 PM
Jun 11, 3:59 AM
48.04%
chance
12
1390
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1040
961
Will Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work?
May 20, 12:23 PM
Dec 25, 4:59 AM
79.75%
chance
21
3615
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1985
504
Will any country adopt a superaligned constitution by 2040?
Dec 21, 10:10 PM
Jan 2, 3:59 AM
42.6%
chance
42
2203
Option
Votes
NO
YES
997
960
Will AI-generated video be used to get away with a criminal (felony) loss of life before the end of 2025?
Feb 19, 4:41 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
10.77%
chance
10
225
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1147
960
Will Elon Musk create the first AGI by 2030?
Sep 25, 12:20 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
5%
chance
22
1772
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1503
932
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Dec 20, 6:57 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
6.18%
chance
4
270
Option
Votes
YES
NO
357
29
Articles
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Meta Introduces Self-Rewarding Language Models, 70B Llama 2 Outperforms GPT-4 on AlpacaEval 2.0 Leaderboard
Authors
7
5 months
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Time Identifies Constitutional AI by Anthropic AI, Multimodality, and Text-to-Video as Top AI Innovations of 2023
Authors
11
6 months
AI
Tech
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