Composition News

Will a room-temperature superconductor with a similar-but-different composition to LK-99 be discovered by 2025?

Aug 2, 10:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3.63%chance

156143873

OptionVotes

YES

8276

848

[ACX 2024] Will the Shanghai (SSE) Composite Index go up over 2024?

Jan 1, 1:32 PMJan 2, 8:00 PM

53.68%chance

471641

OptionVotes

YES

1303

1255

[ACX 2024] In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court?

Jan 1, 1:31 PMJan 2, 6:00 PM

21.28%chance

8112345

OptionVotes

YES

1117

1116

Is the Higgs composite?

Jun 8, 7:22 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

20.5%chance

23823

OptionVotes

YES

1228

896

Will we discover a new, (believed to be) non-composite particle by 2050?

Dec 31, 7:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.53%chance

18297

OptionVotes

YES

1026

974

Will the NASDAQ composite finish 2024 at 15,300 or higher?

Jan 1, 1:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82.1%chance

171097

OptionVotes

YES

1267

918

Will AI achieve superintelligence in music composition by 2026?

Dec 1, 12:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.34%chance

272746

OptionVotes

YES

1114

950

Will the nasdaq composite exceed 15000 points by the end of 2024?

Apr 17, 4:48 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

63.05%chance

170

OptionVotes

YES

131

Will the NASDAQ Composite Index fall below 13,000 by the end of September 2024?

Mar 7, 5:36 PMSep 30, 9:59 PM

13.13%chance

7502

OptionVotes

YES

491

101

2024-07-26: Will the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) close above $17185?

Jun 4, 7:32 PMJul 27, 3:59 AM

81.74%chance

2114

OptionVotes

YES

212

Meta-Learning Compositionality (MLC) in state of the art AI models by Oct. 2025?

Oct 26, 11:00 AMOct 1, 9:59 PM

23%chance

5109

OptionVotes

YES

210

Will there be a Python implementation of the Open Game Engine (a Compositional Game Theory Model Checker) before 2028?

Apr 13, 12:53 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

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Composition News

Prediction markets for Composition

Prediction markets for Composition

Prediction markets for Composition

Will a room-temperature superconductor with a similar-but-different composition to LK-99 be discovered by 2025?

[ACX 2024] Will the Shanghai (SSE) Composite Index go up over 2024?

[ACX 2024] In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court?

Is the Higgs composite?

Will we discover a new, (believed to be) non-composite particle by 2050?

Will the NASDAQ composite finish 2024 at 15,300 or higher?

Will AI achieve superintelligence in music composition by 2026?

Will the nasdaq composite exceed 15000 points by the end of 2024?

Will the NASDAQ Composite Index fall below 13,000 by the end of September 2024?

2024-07-26: Will the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) close above $17185?

Meta-Learning Compositionality (MLC) in state of the art AI models by Oct. 2025?

Will there be a Python implementation of the Open Game Engine (a Compositional Game Theory Model Checker) before 2028?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Composition

Prediction markets for Composition

Prediction markets for Composition

Will a room-temperature superconductor with a similar-but-different composition to LK-99 be discovered by 2025?

[ACX 2024] Will the Shanghai (SSE) Composite Index go up over 2024?

[ACX 2024] In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court?

Is the Higgs composite?

Will we discover a new, (believed to be) non-composite particle by 2050?

Will the NASDAQ composite finish 2024 at 15,300 or higher?

Will AI achieve superintelligence in music composition by 2026?