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Prediction markets for Colony
Prediction markets for Colony
Will we have AGI before a Mars colony?
Jun 25, 2:14 PM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
80.13%
chance
33
3127
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2008
498
Will there be a relatively self-sustaining extraterrestial colony before 2050?
Jun 11, 7:59 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
15%
chance
50
8066
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2380
420
Will there be a martian colony by 2050?
Dec 23, 10:35 PM
Dec 31, 5:59 AM
32.45%
chance
78
5500
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1634
1247
Will there be a human colony on or orbiting Jupiter or a Jovian moon before 2100?
Nov 14, 12:53 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
28.8%
chance
10
247
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1032
980
A Martian colony will exist before a Lunar one
Feb 6, 10:51 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
39.51%
chance
20
810
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1014
956
Will the mostly self-sufficient Moon colony exist by 2100?
Jan 2, 10:06 AM
Dec 31, 7:59 PM
34.8%
chance
24
3790
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1105
927
Will we have at least ONE colony in space by 2050?
Dec 15, 9:40 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
66.65%
chance
23
347
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1104
932
If Elon Musk establishes a Mars colony of at least 100 people, will it be more censorious than the US?
Feb 7, 6:59 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
57.61%
chance
13
184
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1069
919
Will humans establish a permanent colony in Mars by 2040?
Jan 11, 12:42 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
39.36%
chance
23
1017
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1196
388
Where will the first large human space colony be located? (population>1000)
Jan 7, 2:12 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
8
74
How does humanity establish its first permanent colony within the Alpha Centauri system?
Aug 22, 5:08 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
4
82
What will the next ant colony be in AntCanadas rainforest terrarium Pantdora.
Apr 6, 1:21 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
2
87
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21
4 months
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