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Top stories

Former Foreign Secretary Muchkund Dubey, Known for Fiery Temper, Passes Away
Authors
4
4 days
India
Obituary
World
Russia to Hold Espionage Trial of US Journalist Evan Gershkovich in Yekaterinburg on June 26 Behind Closed Doors
Authors
34
13 days
Politics
Global Defense Companies Ramp Up Hiring at Fastest Rate Since Cold War Amid Ukraine Conflict
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7
13 days
Economics
Business

Prediction markets for Cold War

Will 2024 prove to be a pivotal year for Cold War 2 as posited by Noah Smith?

Mar 20, 8:28 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

25.21%chance

191082

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13210

12847

Did the USA missile sites in Okinawa receive erroneous orders to launch their nuclear missiles during the cold war?

Feb 9, 10:16 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

50%chance

24

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

90

Will Paradox Interactive publish a Cold War grand strategy game before the end of 2027?

Dec 31, 7:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

52.19%chance

892

OptionVotes

NO

YES

173

167

Will a Cold War like situation erupt between the US and China by 2034?

Feb 18, 1:27 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

79.06%chance

9211

OptionVotes

NO

YES

300

170

Will Paradox Interactive publish a Cold War grand strategy game before 2030?

Dec 30, 7:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.94%chance

8234

OptionVotes

NO

YES

259

160

Which of the following games will I enjoy playing on the PS5? (spend > 10 hours playing in 2024)

Feb 20, 8:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7190

[Mega Independent]/Prop bets: What will be true of the next James Bond movie?

Nov 23, 9:13 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

11743675

Will the US be at war with Russia at any point until 2030?

Apr 8, 3:06 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

13.94%chance

1265275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1490

1373

Will the game " '83 " release in 2024?

May 20, 12:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.12%chance

3577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1560

641

Will Malta be an official member of NATO by 2025?

Jan 14, 9:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.13%chance

162403

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1419

941

Will Cyprus be an official member of NATO by 2025?

Jan 14, 9:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.05%chance

164374

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1939

905

Will Ireland be an official member of NATO by 2025?

Jan 14, 9:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.31%chance

205364

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2148

846

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