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Claude Sonnet News
Prediction markets for Claude Sonnet
Prediction markets for Claude Sonnet
Where will Anthropic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet model rank on LMSys Chatbot Arena on July 7th? Ahead of GPT, Gemini?
Jun 21, 4:48 AM
Jul 8, 3:59 AM
108
48538
Is Claude 3.5 Sonnet a distilled or quantized version of a larger model?
Jun 20, 2:30 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
50.59%
chance
3
11
Option
Votes
NO
YES
101
99
What will be the score of Claude 3.5 sonnet in the LMSYS Chatbot Arena at the end of July 2024?
Jun 21, 11:31 PM
Aug 1, 9:59 PM
28
4824
Will Claude 3.5 Sonnet take the #1 position for any period of time in its first month on the LMSYS leaderboard?
Jun 20, 2:53 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
27.06%
chance
13
1180
Option
Votes
YES
NO
164
61
Will at least 8 of Stephen Casper's 10 accomplishments for SAEs happen by 5/26/25?
May 26, 6:43 PM
May 28, 3:59 AM
16.35%
chance
10
1611
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2262
442
Will Zvi use Claude 3.5 for the majority of his LLM chats each month through October 2024?
Jun 24, 11:18 AM
Nov 2, 3:59 AM
63.33%
chance
24
3156
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1314
761
Will the product of the version numbers of all major AI language models released in 2024 be greater than 1000?
Mar 10, 8:42 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
88.21%
chance
29
4068
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2401
242
Which of Sabine Hossenfelder's predictions from "What will they think about us in 2085?" will be right?
Jun 30, 2:34 AM
Dec 31, 1:29 PM
10
1346
Does Claude 3.5 have control vector(s) to increase its capabilities?
Jun 22, 5:36 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
35.05%
chance
16
1300
Option
Votes
YES
NO
136
73
In which quarter will Claude 4 be released?
Jun 24, 12:56 PM
Apr 2, 3:59 AM
8
912
When will Claude 3.5 Opus be released?
Jun 24, 12:33 PM
Dec 2, 4:59 AM
23
2087
Articles
Latest stories
Google's Gemma 27B Model Surpasses LLaMA 3 70B on LMSYS Benchmark and Achieves High ELO Scores in Chatbot Arena
Authors
5
3 days
AI
Software
Tech
Anthropic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet Outperforms GPT-4o, Solves 64% of Coding Problems
Authors
24
4 days
AI
Business
Tech
Mistral AI Launches Mixtral 8x22B: A 176B Parameter Model Surpassing GPT-4
Authors
37
3 months
AI
Tech
Mistral AI Unveils 8x22B MoE Model: 176B Parameters, 65k Context
Authors
22
3 months
AI
Tech
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