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Claude Opus News
Prediction markets for Claude Opus
Prediction markets for Claude Opus
Will Claude Opus be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard two years from today (3/10/24)?
Mar 10, 12:34 PM
Mar 11, 3:59 AM
17.11%
chance
13
1170
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1844
714
Will Claude 3.5 Opus beat OpenAI's best released model on the arena.lmsys.org leaderboard?
Jun 20, 2:40 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
82.63%
chance
23
3941
Option
Votes
NO
YES
218
46
Will Claude 3.5 Opus have a higher Chat Arena Elo than GPT-5?
Jun 25, 9:45 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
16.67%
chance
22
753
Option
Votes
YES
NO
224
45
How many parameters does the new possibly-SOTA large language model, Claude 3 Opus, have?
Mar 5, 5:31 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
22
461
Will Claude Opus 3.5 release before Trump's Vice President Running Mate?
Jun 24, 7:14 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
26.34%
chance
1
69
Option
Votes
YES
NO
167
60
When will Claude 3.5 Opus be released?
Jun 24, 12:33 PM
Dec 2, 4:59 AM
23
2087
What will be true of Grok-2?
Mar 29, 7:34 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
25
2330
What capabilities can I elicit from the "im-a-good-gpt2-chatbot" models while they are available? [Add answers]
May 7, 3:49 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
14
149
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
12.38%
chance
68
23983
Option
Votes
YES
NO
26232
3281
How much will gpt-4.5 inference cost?
Jun 3, 10:03 PM
Dec 31, 2:59 PM
26
24519
Will Grok 2 'exceed current [March 28 2024] AI on all metrics'?
Mar 29, 11:21 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
40.49%
chance
111
23880
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1517
393
Will GPT-5 be able to make original jokes Manifold users consider funny?
Apr 21, 6:20 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
69.1%
chance
25
546
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1020
915
Articles
Latest stories
New Claude 3.5 Sonnet AI Model Surpasses GPT-4o in Performance Metrics, More Than Twice as Cost-Effective
Authors
5
11 days
AI
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AbacusAI Launches ChatLLM Teams, LLM APIs, NLUX for Building AI Agents and AI Assistants
Authors
4
19 days
AI
Tech
OpenAI Releases GPT-4o, Users Can Access Premium Models for Free, $20/month, Claude Opus, Gemini
Authors
5
28 days
AI
Tech
@yousearchengine Launches Free Custom AI Assistants Feature
Authors
5
1 month
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AbacusAI Launches ChatLLM Teams for Enterprise AI Solutions with Free Trial at $10/Month
Authors
4
1 month
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Tech
New Alternative to ChatGPT-4o Emerges, Users Claim 10x Better, Free Access to Premium Models Worldwide
Authors
19
1 month
AI
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Clarifai Releases MiniCPM-Llama3-V 2.5; Stanford Students' $500 Llama3-V Matches GPT4-V
Authors
5
1 month
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Newly Launched GPT-2 Chatbot Excels, ChatGPT Enhances Memory Feature
Authors
16
2 months
AI
Tech
Meta's Llama 3 AI: 800 Tokens/Sec, Plans for 400B Parameters, Powered by Groq
Authors
84
2 months
AI
Tech
GPT-4-Turbo-2024-04-09 Regains Top Spots, Surpassing Claude Opus
Authors
10
3 months
AI
Tech
Cursor Launches Claude Opus and Sonnet Support, Copilot++ for $20/Month
Authors
4
3 months
AI
Tech
AI Models GPT-4, Claude Opus, Sonnet, and Gemini Pro Pass Mirror Test of Self-Awareness; Copilot Fails
Authors
8
3 months
AI
Tech
Apple to Launch AI App Store with 32 Gemini Wrappers to Compete with OpenAI's GPT Store, Receives Positive ChatGPT Feedback
Authors
7
4 months
AI
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