Classic News

Will Sam Shankland (re)reach a live classical rating of 2700chess.com in 2024?

May 18, 3:09 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

53.34%chance

524668

OptionVotes

YES

3662

3351

Will a quantum computer perform a calculation by 2026 that is impossible for any classical supercomputer?

Jan 21, 12:56 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

47.58%chance

331032

OptionVotes

YES

1047

914

Will a Japanese-bred horse win the 2024 Breeders' Cup Classic?

Jun 5, 3:54 AMNov 3, 4:59 AM

39.99%chance

5232

OptionVotes

YES

1225

816

Will I play at least 50 FIDE-rated classical games this year?

Feb 13, 7:14 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

52.18%chance

15939

OptionVotes

YES

997

976

Can a robot write a symphony? (AI reliably writes good classical symphonies before 2025)

Jan 4, 5:54 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

15.97%chance

232313

OptionVotes

YES

1178

940

Will Magnus Carlsen compete for the FIDE Classical World Chess Championship before 2033?

Oct 1, 1:45 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

18.18%chance

282110

OptionVotes

YES

1676

711

Can text based LLMs/ChatGPT create classical music indistinguishable from esteemed human works by 2025?

Dec 9, 3:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.22%chance

273408

OptionVotes

YES

1688

797

Will a quantum computer show a clear advantage vs classical computers in solving a major cryptographic problem by 2030?

Jan 21, 12:54 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.8%chance

11522

OptionVotes

YES

1038

968

Will quantum computers simulate complex biological systems faster or more accurately than classical computers by 2026?

Nov 19, 4:22 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.54%chance

13541

OptionVotes

YES

1281

929

Can integer factorization be solved in polynomial time on a classical computer?

Feb 7, 5:46 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

10.41%chance

12765

OptionVotes

YES

1062

968

Will my shatranj engine surpass Fairy-Stockfish 14 classical by 2025?

Nov 19, 11:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

90.98%chance

141138

OptionVotes

YES

1398

811

Will the first AI Superintelligence be installed on a classical computer, a quantum computer, or some other alternative?

Aug 20, 2:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15646

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Classic News

Prediction markets for Classic

Prediction markets for Classic

Prediction markets for Classic

Will Sam Shankland (re)reach a live classical rating of 2700chess.com in 2024?

Will a quantum computer perform a calculation by 2026 that is impossible for any classical supercomputer?

Will a Japanese-bred horse win the 2024 Breeders' Cup Classic?

Will I play at least 50 FIDE-rated classical games this year?

Can a robot write a symphony? (AI reliably writes good classical symphonies before 2025)

Will Magnus Carlsen compete for the FIDE Classical World Chess Championship before 2033?

Can text based LLMs/ChatGPT create classical music indistinguishable from esteemed human works by 2025?

Will a quantum computer show a clear advantage vs classical computers in solving a major cryptographic problem by 2030?

Will quantum computers simulate complex biological systems faster or more accurately than classical computers by 2026?

Can integer factorization be solved in polynomial time on a classical computer?

Will my shatranj engine surpass Fairy-Stockfish 14 classical by 2025?

Will the first AI Superintelligence be installed on a classical computer, a quantum computer, or some other alternative?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Classic

Prediction markets for Classic

Prediction markets for Classic

Will Sam Shankland (re)reach a live classical rating of 2700chess.com in 2024?

Will a quantum computer perform a calculation by 2026 that is impossible for any classical supercomputer?

Will a Japanese-bred horse win the 2024 Breeders' Cup Classic?

Will I play at least 50 FIDE-rated classical games this year?

Can a robot write a symphony? (AI reliably writes good classical symphonies before 2025)

Will Magnus Carlsen compete for the FIDE Classical World Chess Championship before 2033?

Can text based LLMs/ChatGPT create classical music indistinguishable from esteemed human works by 2025?