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Top stories

Abe Lincoln Wax Sculpture Melts in Record Washington D.C. Weekend Heat Wave
Authors
21
3 days
Washington DC
Climate
Politics
Arizona's 1864 Abortion Ban Will Not Take Effect, Attorney General Confirms
Authors
5
10 days
Arizona
Politics
Kevin Costner Defends Casting Son Hayes in 'Horizon: An American Saga' Amid Nepotism Criticism in Civil War Era
Authors
15
10 days
Culture
Vandalism Targets Pride Symbols in Stonewall and West Virginia
Authors
7
14 days
Culture

Prediction markets for Civil War

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?

Mar 21, 11:45 AMJul 15, 4:59 AM

18.48%chance

23779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21374

20854

Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?

Aug 26, 3:21 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

10.82%chance

10015276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1453

1250

Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?

Sep 15, 1:46 AMSep 22, 3:59 AM

19.57%chance

161213

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

946

Alex Garland claims he will quit directing after "Civil War". Will he direct another film before the end of the decade?

Apr 1, 1:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.71%chance

13154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

992

Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?

May 6, 12:14 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

71.8%chance

332204

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1234

871

Will the Syrian civil war end before 2025?

Jul 29, 11:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.62%chance

17442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1212

911

Will There be a Civil War, Violent Revolution, or Insurgency in USA by 2030?

Oct 14, 5:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.14%chance

291611

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1695

799

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist' retract his prediction of a new US civil war before the 2024 election?

Mar 19, 4:13 PMNov 6, 5:59 AM

41.68%chance

23419

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1012

970

Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?

May 18, 10:12 PMApr 21, 5:59 AM

55.74%chance

241530

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

954

Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?

Jan 13, 12:43 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.9%chance

201192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1299

928

Will a major regional conflict (including a civil war, coup, internal conflict) escalate in Africa within the next year?

Aug 2, 6:48 PMAug 4, 6:59 AM

85.65%chance

14283

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1070

970

Will there be a civil war in Europe by the end of 2024

Jan 5, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.71%chance

242035

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

953

Articles

Latest stories

Abe Lincoln Wax Sculpture Melts in Record Washington D.C. Weekend Heat Wave
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