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Former KKK Grand Wizard David Duke Aligns with Anti-Israel Activists Jake Shields, Suleiman Ahmed, Lucas Gage, and White Supremacist Nick Fuentes in Condemning Gaza 'Genocide'
Authors
7
12 days
China
Israel
Britain
Prediction markets for Chinese government
Prediction markets for Chinese government
Will an OpenAI employee be publicly revealed as a spy for the Chinese government before 2025?
May 13, 8:38 PM
Dec 14, 7:59 AM
15.36%
chance
68
5751
Option
Votes
YES
NO
5638
3956
Will the Chinese Government formally resume negotiation talks with Tibet before the end of 2028?
Jun 20, 6:06 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
20.85%
chance
6
97
Option
Votes
YES
NO
195
51
Will ByteDance ask approval from Chinese government for sale of TikTok before deadline?
May 11, 10:00 AM
Apr 21, 3:59 PM
41.23%
chance
2
20
Option
Votes
YES
NO
119
84
Will the 11th Panchen Lama (Gedhun Choekyi Nyima) be freed by the Chinese Government before the end of 2030?
Apr 27, 6:59 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
30.64%
chance
4
60
Option
Votes
YES
NO
238
142
[Metaculus] Will US law continue to prohibit NASA cooperation with the Chinese government until 2030?
Oct 12, 10:13 PM
Feb 1, 3:00 AM
92.63%
chance
5
238
Option
Votes
NO
YES
367
80
Will the Chinese Government misuse Vanguard before 2050?
May 4, 7:53 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
Will the Chinese government default on any debt payments before 2028?
May 6, 3:26 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
19.76%
chance
5
76
Option
Votes
YES
NO
206
97
What organization will be the first to land a human on Mars?
Aug 4, 11:42 PM
Dec 28, 7:59 AM
16
552
What conspiracy theories not included in the linked market will be proven true by 2100?
Feb 3, 12:43 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
24
4753
In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?
Feb 20, 10:35 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
32.24%
chance
128
6951
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3101
2083
Will China be competitive in the LLM race compared to OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google by end of 2024?
Oct 13, 1:41 PM
Dec 31, 4:59 AM
47.62%
chance
328
105709
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2164
1100
Will China announce development of its own extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine in 2024?
Dec 1, 9:52 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
16.25%
chance
42
6811
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3013
840
Articles
Latest stories
Former KKK Grand Wizard David Duke Aligns with Anti-Israel Activists Jake Shields, Suleiman Ahmed, Lucas Gage, and White Supremacist Nick Fuentes in Condemning Gaza 'Genocide'
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2 months
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89
3 months
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103
3 months
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Britain
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Biden's Support for TikTok Ban May Alienate Young Voters, Jeopardizing Reelection
Authors
5
4 months
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China's Gov Purchases $45B ETFs to Stabilize $9.2T Market; Quant Funds Revise $260B Sector Strategies
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9
4 months
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U.S. Intel Warns of China's Potential Use of TikTok for 2024 Election Influence
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14
4 months
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Canadian Scientists Under Scrutiny for Transferring Virus Samples to China, Qiu Xiangguo and Wuhan Institute of Virology Implicated
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11
4 months
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Sunak's 'Fascist Britain': Deportation Threat for Protestors Draws 'Deeply Worrying' Critique
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China Shuts 34K Accounts, Ousts Feng Shixin After Gaming Rules Cost $80B Market Value
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6 months
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China's Local Authorities Face Rising Bond Costs as Economy Struggles
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9 months
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