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Prediction markets for Chinese Coast Guard

Will there be a clash between Taiwanese and Chinese Coast Guard ships in the waters around Kinmen in 2024?

Mar 1, 4:15 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

31.57%chance

668

OptionVotes

YES

NO

268

157

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2035?

Mar 23, 6:32 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

74.15%chance

12381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1107

939

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2030?

Mar 23, 6:31 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

65.91%chance

16384

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

925

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2025?

Mar 23, 6:29 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

42.2%chance

361874

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

977

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?

Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.84%chance

6154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

55

During 2024, will a US ship clash with a Chinese ship at Second Thomas Shoal?

Dec 10, 7:44 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

12.21%chance

8620

OptionVotes

YES

NO

360

141

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2025?

Oct 24, 7:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.43%chance

7102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

201

99

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?

Oct 24, 7:38 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

61.58%chance

240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

72

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?

Oct 24, 7:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

51.45%chance

680

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

105

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?

Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

72.34%chance

399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

163

76

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?

Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

29.52%chance

674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

79

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?

Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

33%chance

579

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

74

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Latest stories

Philippines Calls for U.S. Support as 15 Chinese Ships and Coast Guard Vessels Harass, Injure 4
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4 months
China
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