Chatbot Arena Leaderboard News

Is the LMSYS chatbot arena leaderboard trustworthy?

Jun 24, 9:42 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

50.5%chance

15970

OptionVotes

YES

10009

9991

Will OpenAI be on the top of the Chatbot Arena's LLM Leaderboard until EOY 2024?

Apr 11, 11:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

31.13%chance

252975

OptionVotes

YES

1053

801

Will GPT-4-Turbo be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2025?

Jan 28, 1:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.88%chance

341036

OptionVotes

YES

1195

814

Will Gemini Ultra be on the chatbot arena leaderboard before the end of 2024?

Feb 15, 5:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

80.07%chance

17697

OptionVotes

YES

985

980

Will OpenAI and Google models have a 100+ point Elo lead in the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2024?

Jan 20, 6:45 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

17.01%chance

14664

OptionVotes

YES

1244

893

Will Claude Opus be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard two years from today (3/10/24)?

Mar 10, 12:34 PMMar 11, 3:59 AM

17.11%chance

131170

OptionVotes

YES

1844

714

Will GPT-5 top the LLMSys Chatbot Arena leaderboard within a month of its release?

Mar 29, 12:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

85%chance

12702

OptionVotes

YES

1206

920

What organization will have the highest ELO score in the LMSYS Org Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of Sep, 2024?

Dec 19, 3:01 PMOct 1, 5:59 AM

433893

Will the best AI model according to the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard be using Mixture-of-Depths, at the end of 2024?

Apr 4, 5:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.9%chance

7176

OptionVotes

YES

295

151

Will GPT-4.5 top the LLMSys Chatbot Arena leaderboard within a month of its release?

Mar 29, 12:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.19%chance

9210

OptionVotes

YES

390

172

What organization(s) will be ranked #1 in the LMSYS Org Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of September, 2024?

Apr 29, 6:24 PMOct 1, 5:59 AM

15474

Will Mistral-next reach the #1 position on the chatbot arena leaderboard?

Feb 16, 8:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.06%chance

7426

OptionVotes

YES

567

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Chatbot Arena Leaderboard News

Prediction markets for Chatbot Arena Leaderboard

Prediction markets for Chatbot Arena Leaderboard

Prediction markets for Chatbot Arena Leaderboard

Is the LMSYS chatbot arena leaderboard trustworthy?

Will OpenAI be on the top of the Chatbot Arena's LLM Leaderboard until EOY 2024?

Will GPT-4-Turbo be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2025?

Will Gemini Ultra be on the chatbot arena leaderboard before the end of 2024?

Will OpenAI and Google models have a 100+ point Elo lead in the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2024?

Will Claude Opus be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard two years from today (3/10/24)?

Will GPT-5 top the LLMSys Chatbot Arena leaderboard within a month of its release?

What organization will have the highest ELO score in the LMSYS Org Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of Sep, 2024?

Will the best AI model according to the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard be using Mixture-of-Depths, at the end of 2024?

Will GPT-4.5 top the LLMSys Chatbot Arena leaderboard within a month of its release?

What organization(s) will be ranked #1 in the LMSYS Org Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of September, 2024?

Will Mistral-next reach the #1 position on the chatbot arena leaderboard?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Chatbot Arena Leaderboard

Prediction markets for Chatbot Arena Leaderboard

Prediction markets for Chatbot Arena Leaderboard

Is the LMSYS chatbot arena leaderboard trustworthy?

Will OpenAI be on the top of the Chatbot Arena's LLM Leaderboard until EOY 2024?

Will GPT-4-Turbo be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2025?

Will Gemini Ultra be on the chatbot arena leaderboard before the end of 2024?

Will OpenAI and Google models have a 100+ point Elo lead in the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2024?

Will Claude Opus be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard two years from today (3/10/24)?

Will GPT-5 top the LLMSys Chatbot Arena leaderboard within a month of its release?