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Ceasefire Now News
Prediction markets for Ceasefire Now
Prediction markets for Ceasefire Now
What Event Will Happen First: Jimmy Carter Passes OR A Lasting Bilateral Israel/Hamas Ceasefire? [Unlinked Market]
May 12, 5:41 AM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
105
13375
What Event Will Happen First: Israel/Hamas Ceasefire, Russia/Ukraine Ceasefire, Trump Re-Elected, Biden Re-elected
May 14, 3:48 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
51
4512
🗓️2024 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (39 DONE)
Jan 28, 7:18 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
68
16274
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Mar 10, 5:16 AM
Nov 4, 4:59 AM
45.88%
chance
100
15650
Option
Votes
NO
YES
8357
4431
What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 28, 8:03 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
146
35229
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
291448
If Biden is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Mar 10, 5:16 AM
Nov 4, 4:59 AM
33.43%
chance
56
9676
Option
Votes
NO
YES
7625
4309
What happens if Trump wins 2024 elections? [unlinked, add your answers]
Jan 12, 12:48 AM
Jan 1, 8:59 PM
29
2642
What will happen before GPT 5 or GPT 4.5 is released to the public [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 20, 5:34 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
17
995
🫏 🇺🇸 What will be true of the Democratic National Convention? (ADD RESPONSES)
Mar 6, 8:46 PM
Jul 19, 6:59 AM
25
1143
What happens if Biden wins 2024 elections? [unlinked, add your answers]
Jan 12, 12:50 AM
Jan 1, 8:59 PM
17
1325
Troll Logic Megamarket: What things will technically happen by April Fool's Day? (In loving memory of Levi Finkelstein)
Mar 22, 1:02 AM
Apr 2, 4:00 AM
57
5725
Articles
Latest stories
2024 Spirit Awards Disrupted by 'Free Palestine' Protesters Using Loudspeaker
Authors
6
4 months
Israel
World
Culture
Pro-Palestine Protest Disrupts 2024 Spirit Awards
Authors
8
4 months
Israel
World
Culture
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