Cease News

Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

Jun 11, 5:42 AMMar 1, 12:59 PM

6.85%chance

846140

OptionVotes

YES

1823

1536

[ACX 2024] Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?

Jan 1, 1:32 PMJan 2, 2:00 PM

13.07%chance

968151

OptionVotes

YES

1480

1094

Will US regulators instruct Manifold to alter or cease activity before the end of 2024?

Aug 5, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9%chance

646612

OptionVotes

YES

3262

1441

Will at least 20% of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

Jun 13, 5:56 PMMar 2, 7:59 AM

22.58%chance

433077

OptionVotes

YES

1024

970

Will Charles cease to be King of the UK by end of 2025?

Sep 11, 3:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.01%chance

22948028

OptionVotes

YES

2858

797

Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030?

Dec 16, 6:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.51%chance

261100

OptionVotes

YES

1008

897

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.42%chance

15544

OptionVotes

YES

1017

911

Will Pope Francis cease to be pope before the end of 2025?

Mar 7, 8:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.94%chance

23729

OptionVotes

YES

1120

932

Will Warner Bros Discovery go bankrupt, be acquired, or cease operations before Jan 1st 2025?

Dec 15, 2:04 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

25.68%chance

231915

OptionVotes

YES

976

942

Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI again before 2030?

Nov 22, 6:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.42%chance

13431

OptionVotes

YES

998

960

Will Sundar Pichai cease to be CEO of Alphabet before the end of 2024?

Oct 28, 3:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.53%chance

7312559

OptionVotes

YES

1912

790

Will Vladimir Putin be alive and out of custody for at least 7 days after he ceases to be the president of Russia?

Mar 2, 2:27 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

36.12%chance

14280

OptionVotes

YES

1056

963

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Cease News

Prediction markets for Cease

Prediction markets for Cease

Prediction markets for Cease

Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

[ACX 2024] Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?

Will US regulators instruct Manifold to alter or cease activity before the end of 2024?

Will at least 20% of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

Will Charles cease to be King of the UK by end of 2025?

Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030?

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Will Pope Francis cease to be pope before the end of 2025?

Will Warner Bros Discovery go bankrupt, be acquired, or cease operations before Jan 1st 2025?

Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI again before 2030?

Will Sundar Pichai cease to be CEO of Alphabet before the end of 2024?

Will Vladimir Putin be alive and out of custody for at least 7 days after he ceases to be the president of Russia?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Cease

Prediction markets for Cease

Prediction markets for Cease

Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

[ACX 2024] Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?

Will US regulators instruct Manifold to alter or cease activity before the end of 2024?

Will at least 20% of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

Will Charles cease to be King of the UK by end of 2025?

Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030?

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?