Budget 2024 News

Will the German government declare a state of emergency ("Notlage") for the 2024 budget?

Feb 10, 8:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28.96%chance

19429

OptionVotes

YES

1231

871

In 2024, will the German parliament create an off-budget fund (Sondervermögen) to support the German economy?

Jan 15, 7:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.51%chance

191830

OptionVotes

YES

1764

882

Will the US Congressional Budget Office open source their individual income tax calculator by 2024?

Nov 27, 6:03 PMDec 31, 6:03 PM

31.25%chance

779

OptionVotes

YES

173

103

Will global CO2 emissions in 2024 deplete the remaining carbon budget to limit warming to 1.5°C?

Apr 6, 9:17 AMAug 6, 8:59 PM

28.68%chance

5220

OptionVotes

YES

292

141

Will there be a new major longtermist funder before the end of 2024?

Feb 1, 5:18 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.68%chance

10721568

OptionVotes

YES

4228

1787

Carbon Brief Forecast: If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.5 billion tons in 2030?

Mar 9, 9:51 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

54.88%chance

355764

OptionVotes

YES

2227

585

Carbon Brief Forecast: If Biden wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.5 billion tons in 2030?

Mar 9, 9:50 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

63.34%chance

282447

OptionVotes

YES

1555

1466

Will the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 2:41 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

14.95%chance

182176

OptionVotes

YES

2913

914

If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.8 billion tons in 2025?

Mar 9, 9:37 PMNov 2, 7:59 AM

38.67%chance

21450

OptionVotes

YES

1047

892

If Biden wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.8 billion tons in 2025?

Mar 9, 9:36 PMNov 2, 7:59 AM

42.45%chance

18231

OptionVotes

YES

1046

960

By 2029, will AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to today's Indie Games?

Oct 2, 1:12 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

32.79%chance

231948

OptionVotes

YES

1237

853

Will "Civil War" (2024) be the highest grossing A24 film worldwide? (>111M, for EEAAO)

Apr 8, 12:22 PMJul 9, 6:59 AM

39%chance

162669

OptionVotes

YES

1178

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Budget 2024 News

Prediction markets for Budget 2024

Prediction markets for Budget 2024

Prediction markets for Budget 2024

Will the German government declare a state of emergency ("Notlage") for the 2024 budget?

In 2024, will the German parliament create an off-budget fund (Sondervermögen) to support the German economy?

Will the US Congressional Budget Office open source their individual income tax calculator by 2024?

Will global CO2 emissions in 2024 deplete the remaining carbon budget to limit warming to 1.5°C?

Will there be a new major longtermist funder before the end of 2024?

Carbon Brief Forecast: If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.5 billion tons in 2030?

Carbon Brief Forecast: If Biden wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.5 billion tons in 2030?

Will the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.8 billion tons in 2025?

If Biden wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.8 billion tons in 2025?

By 2029, will AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to today's Indie Games?

Will "Civil War" (2024) be the highest grossing A24 film worldwide? (>111M, for EEAAO)

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Budget 2024

Prediction markets for Budget 2024

Prediction markets for Budget 2024

Will the German government declare a state of emergency ("Notlage") for the 2024 budget?

In 2024, will the German parliament create an off-budget fund (Sondervermögen) to support the German economy?

Will the US Congressional Budget Office open source their individual income tax calculator by 2024?

Will global CO2 emissions in 2024 deplete the remaining carbon budget to limit warming to 1.5°C?

Will there be a new major longtermist funder before the end of 2024?

Carbon Brief Forecast: If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.5 billion tons in 2030?

Carbon Brief Forecast: If Biden wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.5 billion tons in 2030?

Will the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.8 billion tons in 2025?

If Biden wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.8 billion tons in 2025?