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Prediction markets for Browse for Me
Prediction markets for Browse for Me
Manifold Cash Prizes via Sweepstakes Prop Bets
May 13, 9:15 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
24
6826
What will be the problem/feature that brings down users activity the most in 2024? (According to poll)
Mar 2, 2:06 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
2
30
Mission Control: How should we use the 🚀Tactical☢️Nuclear🪙Mana🌟Spirit💣Bomb?
Mar 7, 1:19 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
88
11259
Will Anthropic add web browsing support to Claude within ~3 months? (before Oct 24)
Jun 26, 5:21 AM
Oct 1, 9:59 PM
42.04%
chance
8
386
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1174
852
Will GPT-5 think ChatGPT with internet browsing plugins is a search engine?
May 29, 12:27 AM
Jan 1, 12:59 AM
17.78%
chance
8
574
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1142
513
Will browsing Astral Codex Ten be less annoying before the end of 2024?
Mar 12, 8:04 AM
Jan 1, 12:00 AM
86.54%
chance
13
888
Option
Votes
NO
YES
593
114
AI software will create a summary of what sites I'm browsing from an OBS studio recording of my screen by EOY 2024?
Nov 14, 1:36 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
85.29%
chance
4
140
Option
Votes
NO
YES
270
81
Home or Browse on Manifold, which do you find more useful?
Apr 26, 5:54 AM
10
0
Should there be a "closing this year" filter in the Browse page?
Mar 24, 1:56 PM
18
0
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2024 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
Dec 13, 5:16 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
369
71669
Will an AI be able to create a website via text prompt by end of 2024?
Mar 19, 7:32 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
36.41%
chance
163
45413
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2815
327
Will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex? (Excluding: sex desire)
Apr 2, 5:39 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
55.12%
chance
42
8528
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1110
864
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10
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20
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26
5 months
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