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Bronze News
Prediction markets for Bronze
Prediction markets for Bronze
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by 2025?
Apr 29, 8:55 PM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
52%
chance
257
138897
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1804
1722
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
Jul 23, 1:21 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
37.42%
chance
127
25778
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1557
944
Will AI get at least bronze on the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by 2026?
Aug 9, 4:47 AM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
38.02%
chance
45
2820
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1403
509
Conditional on AI getting at least bronze on the IMO, will it get gold by 2025?
Apr 29, 8:52 PM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
49.55%
chance
22
1810
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1030
929
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
Nov 27, 10:07 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
38.84%
chance
34
2118
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1130
897
Will GPT-5 win Bronze or better at IMO 2025?
Feb 16, 8:11 AM
Sep 1, 6:59 AM
14.19%
chance
15
497
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1392
887
How many years will pass between AI getting an IMO bronze medal and IMO perfect score?
Jan 2, 7:20 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
25
2028
How many years between an AI scoring bronze on an IMO and an AI solving half of a Miklós Schweitzer exam?
Dec 31, 8:06 AM
Dec 18, 7:56 AM
20.11%
chance
9
346
Option
Votes
YES
NO
604
380
Which country will have the highest number of bronze medals in the 2024 Olympics?
Jan 19, 8:02 PM
Aug 27, 3:59 AM
4
36
What years will AlphaGeometry win IMO bronze (or higher)?
Jan 18, 1:23 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
7
793
Will at least 200 Benin Bronzes go from the British Museum to Nigeria before 2030?
May 26, 2:17 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
41.09%
chance
5
70
Option
Votes
YES
NO
176
125
Which athlete will win the most overall medals (gold, silver and bronze) at the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics?
Apr 19, 2:05 PM
Jul 29, 3:59 AM
17
1226
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