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Prediction markets for British government
Prediction markets for British government
Will British newspapers report that the UK government has privately determined India assassinated Avtar Singh Khanda?
Sep 18, 10:57 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
24.01%
chance
8
349
Option
Votes
YES
NO
279
114
[Mega Independent]/Prop bets: What will be true of the next James Bond movie?
Nov 23, 9:13 PM
Dec 1, 7:59 AM
118
43689
Will the NDP win the next election in the Canadian province of British Columbia (BC)?
Apr 4, 5:07 PM
Oct 20, 6:59 AM
71.97%
chance
22
2399
Option
Votes
YES
NO
994
967
[Ṁ200 subsidy] Will the BBC licence fee be axed by the end of 2028?
Aug 3, 11:25 PM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
28.96%
chance
18
1094
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1096
937
Will there be a Scottish independence referendum (indyref2) by 2030?
Sep 10, 4:26 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
23.17%
chance
14
268
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1069
962
Will Julian Assange be extradited to the USA by the end of 2024?
Aug 14, 9:07 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
5.93%
chance
99
18244
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4739
534
Will single-egress be legalized in Canada this year?
Dec 19, 12:13 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
14.7%
chance
3
120
Option
Votes
YES
NO
210
45
Will the NDP win a supermajority in the 2024 election in the Canadian province of British Columbia (BC)?
Nov 5, 8:31 PM
Oct 20, 6:59 AM
50.44%
chance
10
241
Option
Votes
YES
NO
167
128
Will there be a vote confirmed for a united Ireland before the end of 2025?
Oct 4, 1:47 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
4.24%
chance
7
584
Option
Votes
YES
NO
517
92
Who will be the last constitutional Monarch of the UK?
Jan 22, 5:22 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
5
50
[Metaculus] Will Dominic Cummings return to a position of direct power and influence in UK before 2050?
Jan 7, 3:27 PM
Jan 1, 11:00 PM
34.15%
chance
9
111
Option
Votes
YES
NO
199
180
[Metaculus] If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?
Oct 7, 1:16 PM
Jan 3, 9:00 PM
13.27%
chance
5
155
Option
Votes
YES
NO
265
58
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