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Prediction markets for Briers

Will a professional sports franchise use Brier Fox to launch a prediction market for fans during 2024?

Jan 31, 3:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.88%chance

14265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1161

947

In 2026, will the largest AI-based commercial forecasting system (by revenue) have a platform-wide Brier score <0.1?

May 25, 4:22 AMJul 2, 6:59 AM

16.71%chance

92023

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2233

448

Zvi Blind vs. Manifold 2024 ACX Predictions: Who Maximizes Brier Score? (% resolution)

Jan 8, 11:11 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

45.32%chance

11258

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1068

900

Will Brier Fox Forecast be more popular than Manifold Markets by the end of 2025?

Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.73%chance

6293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

174

102

Will Brier Fox Forecast be more popular than Manifold Markets by the end of 2024?

Feb 21, 2:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.1%chance

8662

OptionVotes

YES

NO

375

95

Which strategy will get the best Brier Score on the 2024 ACX prediction contest?

Jan 4, 6:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

198113

Brier Fox Forecasts Stock

Apr 23, 2:56 AM

456

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

89

Will BrierFoxForecast surpass Manifold's 7d avg DAU count by the end of 2025

Oct 22, 6:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.16%chance

2511877

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1329

931

Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform Polymarket's?

Jan 5, 1:18 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

47.75%chance

17405

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

921

Will pre-2026 AI out-forecast the Metaculus community?

Feb 21, 4:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.81%chance

323521

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

891

Will I see statistically significant difference in calibration when using 20 minutes vs 3 minutes in betting on markets?

Feb 25, 7:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

59.99%chance

19234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

953

Will Manifold's calibration improve in 2024?

Mar 15, 9:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.39%chance

12169

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

957

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Canadian Broadcasting Icon Bob Cole Passes, Remembered for Profound Impact
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2 months
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