Brier News

Will a professional sports franchise use Brier Fox to launch a prediction market for fans during 2024?

Jan 31, 3:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.88%chance

14265

OptionVotes

YES

1161

947

In 2026, will the largest AI-based commercial forecasting system (by revenue) have a platform-wide Brier score <0.1?

May 25, 4:22 AMJul 2, 6:59 AM

16.71%chance

92023

OptionVotes

YES

2233

448

Zvi Blind vs. Manifold 2024 ACX Predictions: Who Maximizes Brier Score? (% resolution)

Jan 8, 11:11 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

45.32%chance

11258

OptionVotes

YES

1068

900

Will Brier Fox Forecast be more popular than Manifold Markets by the end of 2025?

Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.73%chance

6293

OptionVotes

YES

174

102

Will Brier Fox Forecast be more popular than Manifold Markets by the end of 2024?

Feb 21, 2:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.1%chance

8662

OptionVotes

YES

375

Which strategy will get the best Brier Score on the 2024 ACX prediction contest?

Jan 4, 6:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

198113

Brier Fox Forecasts Stock

Apr 23, 2:56 AM

456

OptionVotes

YES

112

Will BrierFoxForecast surpass Manifold's 7d avg DAU count by the end of 2025

Oct 22, 6:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.16%chance

2511877

OptionVotes

YES

1329

931

Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform Polymarket's?

Jan 5, 1:18 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

47.75%chance

17405

OptionVotes

YES

1071

921

Will pre-2026 AI out-forecast the Metaculus community?

Feb 21, 4:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.81%chance

323521

OptionVotes

YES

1125

891

Will I see statistically significant difference in calibration when using 20 minutes vs 3 minutes in betting on markets?

Feb 25, 7:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

59.99%chance

19234

OptionVotes

YES

1018

953

Will Manifold's calibration improve in 2024?

Mar 15, 9:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.39%chance

12169

OptionVotes

YES

1050

957

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Brier News

Prediction markets for Brier

Prediction markets for Brier

Prediction markets for Brier

Will a professional sports franchise use Brier Fox to launch a prediction market for fans during 2024?

In 2026, will the largest AI-based commercial forecasting system (by revenue) have a platform-wide Brier score <0.1?

Zvi Blind vs. Manifold 2024 ACX Predictions: Who Maximizes Brier Score? (% resolution)

Will Brier Fox Forecast be more popular than Manifold Markets by the end of 2025?

Will Brier Fox Forecast be more popular than Manifold Markets by the end of 2024?

Which strategy will get the best Brier Score on the 2024 ACX prediction contest?

Brier Fox Forecasts Stock

Will BrierFoxForecast surpass Manifold's 7d avg DAU count by the end of 2025

Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform Polymarket's?

Will pre-2026 AI out-forecast the Metaculus community?

Will I see statistically significant difference in calibration when using 20 minutes vs 3 minutes in betting on markets?

Will Manifold's calibration improve in 2024?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Brier

Prediction markets for Brier

Prediction markets for Brier

Will a professional sports franchise use Brier Fox to launch a prediction market for fans during 2024?

In 2026, will the largest AI-based commercial forecasting system (by revenue) have a platform-wide Brier score <0.1?

Zvi Blind vs. Manifold 2024 ACX Predictions: Who Maximizes Brier Score? (% resolution)

Will Brier Fox Forecast be more popular than Manifold Markets by the end of 2025?

Will Brier Fox Forecast be more popular than Manifold Markets by the end of 2024?

Which strategy will get the best Brier Score on the 2024 ACX prediction contest?

Brier Fox Forecasts Stock