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Prediction markets for Brexit
Prediction markets for Brexit
What is a good numerical measure to determine if Brexit was worth it for UK or not?
Mar 5, 6:28 PM
Mar 5, 9:59 PM
2
15
I will conduct a brexit twitter poll in 2030, what will the % Leave be?
May 13, 3:37 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
63%
chance
5
171
Option
Votes
NO
YES
174
89
What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?
May 23, 7:10 AM
Dec 30, 7:59 AM
45
11002
What will happen with the housing crisis in Ireland in 2024?
Dec 17, 4:05 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
0
0
Will the Reform Party win a nonzero number of seats in the 2024 election?
May 27, 1:33 AM
Jul 5, 10:59 PM
87.06%
chance
32
6241
Option
Votes
NO
YES
3362
477
Will there be a Scottish independence referendum (indyref2) by 2030?
Sep 10, 4:26 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
23.17%
chance
14
268
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1069
962
Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050?
Feb 2, 12:59 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
42.61%
chance
25
1097
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1126
867
Will the United Kingdom attempt to rejoin the EU and Greece demand the Elgin Marbles back to let them? [2033]
Jul 7, 3:50 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
21.33%
chance
22
817
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1381
802
Will the European Union lose another member by 2035?
Apr 16, 12:23 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
45.02%
chance
24
540
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1029
941
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
81.61%
chance
4
163
Option
Votes
NO
YES
189
74
Will there be a vote confirmed for a united Ireland before the end of 2025?
Oct 4, 1:47 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
4.24%
chance
7
584
Option
Votes
YES
NO
517
92
What will Reform UK's highest constituency vote share be at the next UK general election (excluding the Speaker's seat)?
Dec 5, 10:16 AM
Feb 1, 11:59 PM
27
4861
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