Search
News Chat
Login
Search
Top
For You
Business
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
Video Games
World
Born This Way News
Top stories
Lady Gaga wows Las Vegas & Pennsylvania with new covers, outfits, and performances
Authors
4
10 days
Culture
Prediction markets for Born This Way
Prediction markets for Born This Way
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
12.38%
chance
68
23983
Option
Votes
YES
NO
26232
3281
Will the claim that people that grew up with GPT-like systems are smarter be plausible by 2050?
Mar 21, 7:05 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
80.31%
chance
10
140
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1107
957
Will a trans female athlete win an Olympic gold medal in any women's game category in 2024?
Jan 30, 7:51 PM
Sep 3, 3:59 AM
14.92%
chance
40
3082
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1249
910
Will The Rest Is Politics and Political Currency do a joint podcast episode in 2024?
Dec 23, 10:28 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
42.15%
chance
5
100
Option
Votes
YES
NO
155
104
Does being smart and innovative require that AIs can never truly, deeply conform to social rules? [In development still]
Dec 22, 8:25 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
51%
chance
7
59
Option
Votes
YES
NO
156
143
When will the first baby in space be?
May 3, 3:49 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
3
164
What will be the next presidential “barrier” to be broken?
Jul 1, 6:37 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
7
72
Will a year without a "normal" human birth occur before 2050? [See Description]
Oct 30, 5:07 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
8.12%
chance
9
223
Option
Votes
YES
NO
433
162
The first human to be declared “immortal” will be from which generation?
Dec 10, 9:08 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
33
1400
Potential questions for long bet on Robin Hanson Orthodox Jews thesis (500 mana / 100 per great question or comment)
Oct 16, 1:57 AM
0
0
Articles
Latest stories
Lady Gaga wows Las Vegas & Pennsylvania with new covers, outfits, and performances
Authors
4
10 days
Culture
Previous
Next
