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Prediction markets for Big Game
Prediction markets for Big Game
I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?
Dec 21, 8:35 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
21.24%
chance
69
6475
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1684
1350
Will Sam Altman know who *I* am? (5 year time frame)
May 3, 4:40 AM
Jan 4, 12:59 PM
62.96%
chance
32
1058
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1155
540
Keli Stock
Apr 10, 7:23 AM
141
35780
Option
Votes
NO
YES
976
867
Will Google be broken up due to antitrust regulations in 2024?
Apr 14, 7:56 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
7.72%
chance
11
742
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1507
891
Will Elon Musk fall to 4th richest person anytime by August 1st 2024 according to Forbes Real time billionaires?
Apr 20, 4:59 PM
Aug 10, 3:59 AM
2.2%
chance
50
25308
Option
Votes
YES
NO
6837
178
Which gaming companies will shut down by end 2030?
Feb 28, 9:04 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
24
3602
2024-2025 Big Ten Men's Basketball Conference Win%
Apr 1, 5:12 AM
Mar 11, 4:59 AM
2
205
Will a Nintendo Switch Mini be revealed before end of 2024?
Dec 4, 3:18 PM
Jan 14, 11:59 PM
15%
chance
5
106
Option
Votes
YES
NO
168
59
Will I reach 2 Dan on any of the following 3 go servers (OGS,KGS, Wbaduk) By the end of 2024
Nov 30, 8:35 AM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
46.3%
chance
6
839
Option
Votes
NO
YES
381
347
2024-2025 Big Twelve Men's Basketball Conference Win%
Apr 1, 7:14 PM
Mar 11, 4:59 AM
1
160
When will a video game exist with a practically infinite world (like Minecraft) that looks as nice as the BOTW world?
May 31, 3:26 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
28.99%
chance
6
93
Option
Votes
YES
NO
142
90
Will an "enhanced" athlete break Usain Bolt's 100m dash record in 2024?
Jun 29, 6:42 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
12.36%
chance
9
683
Option
Votes
YES
NO
473
101
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